Fri 17:00 UPDATE Sinema increases lead by 12000 now leads by 21,185

[grantcart]

All of AZ Vote Recorders offices have live feeds so you can watch them doing their work

You can see that here:

https://azsos.gov/elections

Here is the link for Maricopa where more than half of the votes are counted.

Its kind of neat and totally boring at the same time.

Here is the Secretary of State's Election result page:

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0

at 4:30 the numbers are

Kyrsten Sinema 946,314 up 9515

Martha McSally 936,797


Yesterday saw Sinema, who was down 21,000 votes go up 9,000 votes for a daily swing of 30,000.


If Sinema's lead grows today there is very little chance that McSally will be able to get the lead back because she would have to get in excess of 60% of the vote in a shrinking pool.

The Recorders of each county are going through "Late Early Mail in Votes", namely mail in ballots that people walked in to make sure that they would be counted. Their is no postmark deadline in AZ they must physically arrive at the Recorder's Office by 7 pm on Election Day

AZ voters can check their ballot stat us here:

https://voter.azsos.gov/VoterView/AbsenteeBallotSearch.do

Edited to add that Republicans and Democrats compromised on the Republican lawsuit so that rural counties would adopt the same time frame as Pima and Maricopa counties which take about 5 days to contact voters where a signature issue seems to be the issue.



Maricopa County https://recorder.maricopa.gov/electionresults/completeresults.aspx

[Kali]

1. !

[populistdriven]

2. thankyou K&R

[In It to Win It]

3. Make me proud Arizona!!!

[Kali]

4. up 21,185 by NYT

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/arizona-senate

[Cha]

9. Whoa, dude!

[ramblin_dave]

5. Settlement Gives Arizona Rural Voters Another Chance To Fix Ballot Issues

Arizona Republicans and Democrats agreed Friday to give rural voters an extra chance to fix problems with their ballots in the count of the state’s tight Senate race.

That’s a compromise after Republicans filed a lawsuit seeking to stop urban voters from using those procedures. The settlement was announced in a Phoenix courtroom.

The counties have until Nov. 14 to address the issue.

Link to tweet

[Tom Rivers]

10. What does this mean?

How many votes are still outstanding in the rural parts?

[LeftInTX]

13. Counting will continue until Nov 15

[LeftInTX]

14. Sorry about my typo!!!

[grantcart]

23. Just a few thousand, maybe 20 -30,000. It means that we can continue counting Maricopa and Pima

which have about 300,000 left.

Both favor Sinema

[dalton99a]

6. Kick

[Delphinus]

7. Fingers continue to be crossed ...

but this is good news!

[Cha]

8. Just WOW! Gracias, grant!

[grantcart]

17. no problem, this time its fun

[manor321]

11. WOOOOOOO HOOOOOOO!!!

SUCK IT REPUBLICANS!!!!

[workinclasszero]

12. YES!!

Eat **** MAGA mothers!

[Seiad]

15. looks like Sinema up by 20,000 plus!

I'm having a hard time posting the link, but I've been watching the results at the below CNN site. Matches the AP site as well.


https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/results/senate

[grantcart]

16. Now down a few 20,837

smaller counties coming will adjust it slightly

I don't think Maricopa County is in yet

[grantcart]

18. Maricopa is in, they only have 266,000 ballots left to count

That would mean probably a total of 300,00 left state wide.

Its difficult to make up 20,000 votes when the margin grows larger every day.

[BlueintheSTL]

21. Do not forget about Pima and Coconino

Link to tweet

[grantcart]

22. I know. Sinema is running 57% to 41%.

If Sinema increases her lead by any amount tomorrow it is likely over because she has to get a higher percent with a smaller pool.

[Tom Rivers]

24. Why is GOP arguing Election Day drop off votes in Maricopa will favor them significantly?

From what I saw they ran about even in Maricopa on in-person Election Day votes (which "experts" argue tends to favor GOP), I'm not sure why Election Day drop offs would differ much from that? Maybe I'm just not up to speed on Arizona voting and which way those types of votes tend to go, but their argument doesn't really make much sense to me here.

[BlueintheSTL]

26. I have been thinking the same exact thing

They could tilt McSally, but I do no think by the margins the GOP thinks.

[SaschaHM]

28. What we had on Eday (when they were even there) was Early vote that arrived before + Eday.

The assumption that they're making is that Sinema won that portion of the early vote while McSally won the Eday vote, and that's why they were even before eday arrivals/hand-ins were added. If that's the case and hand-ins mimic a republican friendly eday, McSally can make up some ground w/ the 198k or so that were delivered in person. The issue there is that the margin that she needs to win by is increasingly becoming higher and higher.

[Tom Rivers]

30. That makes a little more sense

Still think it's going to be an uphill climb for the GOP. I just don't get the sense that those votes will overwhelmingly go to McSally, and there's also a significant amount from Sinema's district and Dem-leaning counties. Could get closer than it is now, but I predict Sinema will win by several thousand.

[In It to Win It]

19. OH MY GOD!

[elmac]

20. hmmm

[ProudProgressiveNow]

25. KR NT

[Honeycombe8]

27. Wow! Lookin' good. Fingers and toes crossed. nt

[rurallib]

29. !

[mysteryowl]

31. Looks like we are getting another female Dem senator!

[Vogon_Glory]

32. Way To Go, Arizona Democrats!

[grantcart]

36. Tom Perez and who ever else put together the strategy for the entire Senate/Congress campaign

deserves a lot of credit.

Rather than buying a lot of useless commercials that don't convince anyone of anything they split the money and put millions into GOTV.

they hired 55 full time operatives to work through out the state

I was contacted by more than a dozen people asking me to come in and when I did there were dozens there ready to go knock on doors.

And from the beginning they said that we are going to get the vote out and we are going to win by 2 1/2 to 3%


One of the reasons that did it was because they knew that they not only had a chance for a Senator but also for a red congressional district

The Republicans bailed on the Congressional district.

And now this "deeply red" state is going to have one Democratic Senator and 5 Democratic Congress people to 4 Republicans.

And the other Senate seat is not held by an incumbent and we could win that one in 2 years.

[GulfCoast66]

37. This times 1000

For the first time in 12 years I had a young man come to my door. You can imagine his smile when I told him my entire household was straight Democratic. Thanked him for his efforts.

[DesertRat]

33. YAY!

I don't think there's any way McSally can close that gap!

[UTUSN]

34. K&R

[apkhgp]

35. The GOP is becoming unhinged at all of this here

And 45 is accusing voter fraud. We need to see if we can take their hinges off permanently and 45 can accuse all he wants to.

[Liberal In Texas]

38. COOL!

This is good news, good news. We need it.