Folks in the Bahamas, Florida or Carolinas- pay attention

[malaise]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers activity has increased and become a little better organized
today in association with a tropical wave located about 350 miles
east-southeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to gradually become more conducive for development by
Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is expected to form
by the middle of the week. The system will move westward to
west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of
the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern
Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

[livetohike]

1. K&R

[malaise]

2. 90% chance of formation in five days, 50% chance in two days

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward
Islands is producing a large area of disturbed weather over much of
the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shower and thunderstorm
activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this
morning, and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually
become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression
or a tropical storm during the next day or so. The disturbance is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few
days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas
should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Stewart

[BumRushDaShow]

3. If it does form, it will become "Patty".

[malaise]

4. Was just about to add the name

I''m sure the folks at the Con's place are watching potential Patty. The women aren't happy with the vile MAGAcretin. :evilgrim:

[BumRushDaShow]

5. They need to watch that.

This year has really been unusual with a high number of both Atlantic and Pacific storms!

[malaise]

6. The Eastern Pacific has been unbelievable

And yet they were less destructive than the Caribbean/Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico.
Records show some serious November hurricanes

[malaise]

7. Mike's Weather Page

http://spaghettimodels.com/

[malaise]

8. Threat fading

Looks like a cold front will force this to turn east and head in the direction of Bermuda and become a fish storm

[LeftInTX]

9. The cold front is strong

[Wounded Bear]

10. Won't be long until the "Hurricane Season" is from Jan to Dec...