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kentuck

(111,110 posts)
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 07:54 PM Nov 2018

Senator Nelson is going to win the recount and all hell is going to break loose.

I think this is a good possibility.

There are still a lot of votes yet to be counted and many of those votes are from Democratic areas. There should be no surprises if Senator Nelson comes out ahead.

Republicans, including Donald Trump and Rick Scott, have been inciting their supporters to believe the only way that Bill Nelson can win is by "fraud". That is not the case.

The right-wingers are already primed to deny the results if Rick Scott is not declared the winner.

However, it is not realistic to open a million pieces of mail (mail-in ballots) and expect the results immediately. It takes time. And the time that it takes is not as important as the fact that each of those votes should be counted. It is not "fraud" - it is democracy.

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Senator Nelson is going to win the recount and all hell is going to break loose. (Original Post) kentuck Nov 2018 OP
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2018 #1
We don't know that manor321 Nov 2018 #2
I heard a report that there were still 700,000 votes to be counted? kentuck Nov 2018 #3
Haven't read that, what is your source for that high number ? FloridaBlues Nov 2018 #11
I heard it on MSNBC or CNN... kentuck Nov 2018 #12
K&R What do you think about this link - a cyber-weapon in information wars? Jeffersons Ghost Nov 2018 #48
This message was self-deleted by its author Cetacea Nov 2018 #23
700000 to RECOUNT Takket Nov 2018 #47
Thanks for the clarification. kentuck Nov 2018 #49
This message was self-deleted by its author Cetacea Nov 2018 #59
My hope is they get the 0.25% we need for hand recount FloridaBlues Nov 2018 #6
It seems very odd for so many people to show up for a midterm Flaleftist Nov 2018 #14
I lean to thinking they voted for Senate and it was not read karynnj Nov 2018 #17
You think there will be violence? ProudLib72 Nov 2018 #4
We should all hope there is no violence... kentuck Nov 2018 #8
This morning I heard that all sorts of thugs have been bussed in eleny Nov 2018 #10
Oh good grief! The proud boys? ProudLib72 Nov 2018 #27
I also heard that Cory Gardner is making as ass out of himself eleny Nov 2018 #32
Trump has already incited the bomber and synagogue shooter. Flaleftist Nov 2018 #18
unfortunately, you may be right julia b. Nov 2018 #31
Welcome to DU! (nt) reACTIONary Nov 2018 #46
their grand poobah laimbaugh is ramping up the outrage certainot Nov 2018 #38
That makes zero sense ProudLib72 Nov 2018 #43
I love how these Trump cultists think they are being oh so clever LiberalLovinLug Nov 2018 #55
I think it's more like LoveMyCali Nov 2018 #56
Ah, I didn't think of that LiberalLovinLug Nov 2018 #57
I really, really hope you are right Phoenix61 Nov 2018 #5
As long as the result is true and fair, Dems can't be responsible for what RWNJs do. OnDoutside Nov 2018 #7
THEY (REPUGS) want violence if bluestarone Nov 2018 #9
Not sure because everyone is calling them out on their bogus fraud shit malaise Nov 2018 #13
History Repeating colsohlibgal Nov 2018 #15
We'll know if Nelson has a chance based on machine recount Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #16
I thought the only way we will know is by hand recount? BlueintheSTL Nov 2018 #19
Ari Melber had the Democratic attorney watoos Nov 2018 #24
Yeah but which recount will we be able to tell? BlueintheSTL Nov 2018 #28
The hand recount will tell the difference but we aren't there yet for hand recount FloridaBlues Nov 2018 #36
Human error. SpankMe Nov 2018 #37
This message was self-deleted by its author Cetacea Nov 2018 #26
They should be careful what they wish for. Sow the wind, reap the whirlwind. Augiedog Nov 2018 #20
Bring it on. Downtown Hound Nov 2018 #21
They have to decide about the Pensacola area, some votes were sent by email FakeNoose Nov 2018 #22
K&R... spanone Nov 2018 #25
We can not sit idly by while the repubs try to steal the election! oldlibdem Nov 2018 #29
How many Senators do we need to at least tie? Bfd Nov 2018 #30
We lost 3 and only picked up 2 DFW Nov 2018 #34
Fuck 'em we need to fight for every vote every time. Botany Nov 2018 #33
Republicans Have Been Cheating to Win for so Long, They Believe They're Entitled to Win dlk Nov 2018 #35
I believe you are 100% correct. dewsgirl Nov 2018 #51
Skeletor knows he can't win in a fair race, which is why he's trying to stop the count. Dopers_Greed Nov 2018 #39
By Florida law, they are supposed to not count after Thursday. What if it takes longer? nt wiggs Nov 2018 #40
No. Not supposed to stop counting BEFORE thursday sharedvalues Nov 2018 #44
a few places wiggs Nov 2018 #45
As long as there is a chance he could win, we should wait for all the votes to be counted. Honeycombe8 Nov 2018 #41
Good. And we are going to tell them to get lost. sharedvalues Nov 2018 #42
I keep wondering, don't we have law enforcement to stop riots pdsimdars Nov 2018 #50
I wonder because they are so desperate now duforsure Nov 2018 #52
I hope he wins! Too bad we are stuck with DeSantis. IluvPitties Nov 2018 #53
If in fact there were under votes in Broward that's a very real possibility. peekaloo Nov 2018 #54
Yeah. Blue_true Nov 2018 #58

Response to kentuck (Original post)

 

manor321

(3,344 posts)
2. We don't know that
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 07:59 PM
Nov 2018

If there are undervotes that were caused by machine error instead of the voter not filling out the Senate race, then maybe. If people didn't vote for Senate, I'm not confident we have the votes. I will hope for the best.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
3. I heard a report that there were still 700,000 votes to be counted?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:01 PM
Nov 2018

If that is true, how can anyone claim that Rick Scott has already won?

FloridaBlues

(4,008 posts)
11. Haven't read that, what is your source for that high number ?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:10 PM
Nov 2018

Most of the votes have been counted they are putting in ballots that have been counted except for the later ones still coming in from oversees.

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
12. I heard it on MSNBC or CNN...
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:12 PM
Nov 2018

...that it was ballots that were cast on election day. I cannot guarantee the accuracy.

Response to kentuck (Reply #3)

Takket

(21,621 posts)
47. 700000 to RECOUNT
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 10:56 PM
Nov 2018

Broward has to recount 700000 ballots. but they are already in the vote totals.

http://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/11/12/broward-still-hasnt-started-recount-deadline-is-thursday-for-700000-ballots/

Two days after state officials ordered a statewide recount in three key races that ended within razor-thin margins, Broward County elections officials said Monday they have not yet started their recount of more than 700,000 ballots it must tally before Thursday's deadline.

Broward Supervisor of Elections Brenda Snipes said she was not concerned that her office would not meet its deadline, even if the start of the recount is delayed until Tuesday morning.

"No, there is not" any concern, said Snipes, whose headquarters in Lauderhill were once again surrounded Monday by a small crowd of protesters critical of the elections chief and her competence to serve.

Broward will conduct three statewide recounts and additional recounts on four municipal races, all of which are on the first page of Broward's ballots. The machines have to first separate that page from the rest of each ballot before they can then be refed and recounted. (Ballots in Broward county can range from four to seven pages, depending on the city.)

Response to Takket (Reply #47)

FloridaBlues

(4,008 posts)
6. My hope is they get the 0.25% we need for hand recount
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:05 PM
Nov 2018

That will tell us a lot if machine error in these undervotes in Broward county.
We just got another email asking for more volunteers to watch the vote count.
Plan on going this Thursday.

Flaleftist

(3,473 posts)
14. It seems very odd for so many people to show up for a midterm
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:17 PM
Nov 2018

and cast a vote for governor and not for the Senator, was especially considering the kind of candidates on the ballot. Also, IIRC, the number of undervotes in Broward was significantly higher than anywhere else.

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
17. I lean to thinking they voted for Senate and it was not read
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:19 PM
Nov 2018

Why? The top two races, both contentious, were governor and Senator. I remember in 2000, my husband and many people I knew in NJ (from the synagogue that I was a member at) were hearing from older relatives in Florida that their ballots were all messed up. Some were crying. This year --- there was no claim that Nelson was not even on the ballot! The media was watching FL because the races were close and I never heard a hint that anyone voted and then .. suddenly realized after turning it in .. that they did not vote for Senate.

ProudLib72

(17,984 posts)
4. You think there will be violence?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:02 PM
Nov 2018

Maybe. And I was thinking about just this sort of thing earlier today. When the Rump won a rigged election, there was no violence from Dems. But when the assholes think there might be fraud (are convinced by Tweety McTweetface), then there is violence. That says a lot about how we have faith in democracy and they do not. The only faith they have is in their glorious leader. Their faith is so misplaced!

kentuck

(111,110 posts)
8. We should all hope there is no violence...
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:06 PM
Nov 2018

...but it doesn't help that they are incited by Trump and Scott to believe there is fraud when there is none. Nobody has reported any fraud up to this point.

eleny

(46,166 posts)
10. This morning I heard that all sorts of thugs have been bussed in
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:09 PM
Nov 2018

It was on the Thom Hartmann show. Someone on the ground in Florida said that even Proud Boys are there.

But the good news is that none of them are allowed near the offices where the ballot tabulation is going on. So somebody learned a lesson from the events of the 2000 election. And those days of the Brooks Brothers boys seem mild by comparison to the right wing groups of today.

ProudLib72

(17,984 posts)
27. Oh good grief! The proud boys?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:49 PM
Nov 2018

These people have nothing better to do with their time than be jerks.

eleny

(46,166 posts)
32. I also heard that Cory Gardner is making as ass out of himself
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:06 PM
Nov 2018

I don't know the details but it's about the elections that still need to be determined.

I can hardly wait to start working for his Dem challenger. Hope we have an outstanding candidate.

Flaleftist

(3,473 posts)
18. Trump has already incited the bomber and synagogue shooter.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:21 PM
Nov 2018

Trump escalating his rhetoric if the final vote count favors Dems and inciting violence will not surprise me one bit. I would be surprised if it doesn't happen.

julia b.

(4 posts)
31. unfortunately, you may be right
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:04 PM
Nov 2018

hi all i'm a newbie but felt i had to comment

i live in montana, and we are a purple state. because of our deep love for the environment, there is a good chance of us squeaking by to be blue in 2020

howver! this yahoo in charge of our country brings out the worst in some-i was threatened online with guns when i talked about forming a discussion group here

and florida..so heavily divided. and trump lives for chaos

if i lived there i would be sticking close to home for awhile

 

certainot

(9,090 posts)
38. their grand poobah laimbaugh is ramping up the outrage
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:18 PM
Nov 2018

calling sinema a "commie babe" and "unapologetic marxist" is just the start.

starting last week began he's been attacking election officials and suggesting dems were filling in ballots, 'illegal aliens' voting, etc

dems need offense

here's some of his crap from last week, continuing this week:

I really hope I'm wrong, but once the commie babe pulls ahead out there and they tell us there are 500000 ballots yet to be counted in Phoenix in Democrat areas in Phoenix it doesn't look good. But you never know. It's not over yet. Nothing official. And we got people on our side say don't get all worried about it, (that) this is standard operating procedure for Arizona, (that) over 60 percent of the votes are by mail, it takes a long time to count them.

Well that's be fine if counting the votes is what was happening in Arizona but it's not, they're not counting votes in Florida either, they're looking for them. And in fact I wouldn't be surprised if they're if they're trying to find some blank ballots to still mark down there call on provisional ballots. ..... down here.


ProudLib72

(17,984 posts)
43. That makes zero sense
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 10:17 PM
Nov 2018

Calling her a commie babe must have been a compliment because...



Or else they just don't possess an understanding of irony.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,176 posts)
55. I love how these Trump cultists think they are being oh so clever
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 02:44 PM
Nov 2018

In adopting the "deplorable" tag. Is this their misguided attempt to mimic blacks taking back the n word? That doesn't quite work as those from our side that refer to them that way, from Hillary on down, can repeat it over and over to describe them. Too bad Hillary didn't just call them idiots. I can see it "I'm an idiot for Trump!". And as Trump sinks further and further into disrepute, the latest being his no-show for memorial ceremonies, they will earn that tag even more for supporting such a vile individual.

Phoenix61

(17,019 posts)
5. I really, really hope you are right
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:04 PM
Nov 2018

About Nelson winning. Red Tide Rick was a crook when he entered office. He didn't become a law abiding citizen just because he was elected gov. I think the reason he is panicking is he was counting on having the political power of a US Senator to keep past misdeeds from coming to light. There's no telling what the FBI has uncovered in Tallahasse.

malaise

(269,157 posts)
13. Not sure because everyone is calling them out on their bogus fraud shit
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:14 PM
Nov 2018

The vile MAGAcretin has cried wolf once too often.People are unto him.

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
15. History Repeating
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:18 PM
Nov 2018

What I saw with those republicans in Florida chanting, pounding, etc was real Deja Vu, as in the 2000 behavior of those republican thugs pounding on the doors trying to stop the recount.

They do not want all the votes recorded and correctly counted, because if they were they will likely lose.

Same way in Georgia where Stacy Abrams’ opponent controls the vote.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
16. We'll know if Nelson has a chance based on machine recount
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:19 PM
Nov 2018

The hand recount won't change much of anything, not unless the margin is already down to let's say 500 or less, the Gore/Bush margin.

If those undervotes are scanner error in Broward County, the machine recount will catch all of them and Nelson's deficit will be all but gone.

But I suspect it was voter error and the voters mistakenly skipped that race, especially in FL-24 where the House race was not on the ballot, causing the small-footprint senate race with only two candidates to blend in immediately below the lengthy ballot instuructions.

From now on we need to have ballot experts assigned to every county and especially every major urban county to make sure this doesn't happen again. What good are hundreds of lawyers after the fact in comparison to one guy two months ago who recommends that maybe such a cramped ballot design isn't a good idea?

There are not 700,000 votes in Florida that have yet to be counted once. That article was flat wrong and led to false impression of the status of this race.

If the machine recount doesn't rescue those votes in Broward, then we'll hold onto false optimism that doesn't align with the math, somewhat like the false optimism regarding senate control in 2018.

 

BlueintheSTL

(135 posts)
19. I thought the only way we will know is by hand recount?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:26 PM
Nov 2018

I am not so sure about that. I think it is the opposite. If the scanner did not pick them up the first time, why do you think it will pick them up the second time? I have heard from numerous people that the hand recount will reveal whether it was scanner error or voter error once they hand count the over and under votes. That will happen after the machine recount.


 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
24. Ari Melber had the Democratic attorney
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:47 PM
Nov 2018

overseeing the counting on. He said they already found one machine that was bad, he also said the recount will tell if it was because of a poor ballot and the vote wasn't cast or if the machine missed the vote.

So yeah, we will know if it was human error or machine error.

 

BlueintheSTL

(135 posts)
28. Yeah but which recount will we be able to tell?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:49 PM
Nov 2018

Machine? or hand recount? -- where they will then count over and under votes?

FloridaBlues

(4,008 posts)
36. The hand recount will tell the difference but we aren't there yet for hand recount
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:16 PM
Nov 2018

We will know Thursday afternoon

SpankMe

(2,966 posts)
37. Human error.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:17 PM
Nov 2018

Ari Melber had an interesting segment on bad ballot design. The ballot has three vertical columns. The first column had a long list of instructions, and then the box for voting for US Senator just under that. Then, the second and third columns were all voting boxes. It could be that voters at polling places feeling somewhat rushed could have been visually tricked into thinking that the whole first column was instructions and then proceeded directly to the second column and started marking their votes there (skipping the US Senator box at the bottom of the first column).

They're saying that there's a significant under-vote for US Senator, but no meaningful under-vote for any other selections on the ballot. Ballot design sounds like a possibility.

Response to Awsi Dooger (Reply #16)

FakeNoose

(32,745 posts)
22. They have to decide about the Pensacola area, some votes were sent by email
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:45 PM
Nov 2018

The votes should be disqualified for being illegal. However the panhandle area is right-wing so it means the votes are probably mostly for Republicans. This is a big deal that the FL-GOP will probably start another lawsuit over. It just came out today, but they've known about it since November 6th - hoping the media wouldn't find out.

What a bunch of cheating fucks they all are.



oldlibdem

(330 posts)
29. We can not sit idly by while the repubs try to steal the election!
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 08:57 PM
Nov 2018

Count every vote! count every vote! count every vote!....

 

Bfd

(1,406 posts)
30. How many Senators do we need to at least tie?
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:03 PM
Nov 2018

Because..when Trump AND Pence are both indicted and House Speaker moves to fill that #1 Spot & chooses her #2 Spot, then ...Pence won't be around to Break the Senate Tie!!
And don't tell me that Repubs are seeing another SC spot opening up with RBG's springtime retirement.

That's the scenario I want to see.

Pence is compromised as well as Trump.
They both go.

DFW

(54,436 posts)
34. We lost 3 and only picked up 2
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:09 PM
Nov 2018

And that is assuming we keep Florida and Montana.

We picked up Arizona and Nevada, but lost Missouri, North Dakota and Indiana. McTurtle stays on as majority leader.

Botany

(70,578 posts)
33. Fuck 'em we need to fight for every vote every time.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:09 PM
Nov 2018

Florida 2000, Ohio 2004, Georgia & Alabama 2002, South Carolina dem primary 2010,
Ky governor's race 2015, and Trump winning in 2016 ..... enough we have to fight.

* https://www.democraticunderground.com/100211416264

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)
39. Skeletor knows he can't win in a fair race, which is why he's trying to stop the count.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:24 PM
Nov 2018

This creep should not be allowed in the Senate.

sharedvalues

(6,916 posts)
44. No. Not supposed to stop counting BEFORE thursday
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 10:19 PM
Nov 2018

Thursday is the deadline for absentee ballots to arrive. Counting can take longer than that.

Where did you see the falsehood about the law?

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
41. As long as there is a chance he could win, we should wait for all the votes to be counted.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 09:49 PM
Nov 2018

I don't know if he could win or not. I don't want to set myself up for disappointment. But if it's possible, then that is just a fact. It's possible.

sharedvalues

(6,916 posts)
42. Good. And we are going to tell them to get lost.
Mon Nov 12, 2018, 10:17 PM
Nov 2018

If we win, we win.
And screw their voter suppression too.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
50. I keep wondering, don't we have law enforcement to stop riots
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 08:24 AM
Nov 2018

or does that only apply if the protests are on the left?

duforsure

(11,885 posts)
52. I wonder because they are so desperate now
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 08:41 AM
Nov 2018

If Putin was involved in this Florida race with his hackers, and that's why Scott and others (trump) are acting out so much now. I suspect a number of races the FBI was very closely watching, and know what was done already. If it comes up , then trump and scott will be connected to it I suspect. They both are very corrupt, and treasonous. Anything to win.

peekaloo

(22,977 posts)
54. If in fact there were under votes in Broward that's a very real possibility.
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 08:59 AM
Nov 2018

Local teevee has dug up Katherine Harris for her "memories"/assessment and was surprised to hear her fully support a statewide recount "this time".

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
58. Yeah.
Tue Nov 13, 2018, 03:46 PM
Nov 2018

Republicans are going to lose their shit if Nelson, Gillum and Fried win. In Florida, that is close to worse case for republicans, it shows an enormous loss of their grip on the state.

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