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NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 09:06 PM Nov 2018

Any polls in the Mississippi Senate runoff?

This is probably a pretty solid Republican hold, but I have not seen any polling since before the 11/6 election. I donated some money to Mike Espy, but I would give more if I thought he had a chance.

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Any polls in the Mississippi Senate runoff? (Original Post) NewJeffCT Nov 2018 OP
MI is at/near the bottom of most every metric u can find. maybe they like it that way nt msongs Nov 2018 #1
MI? Michigan? Tiggeroshii Nov 2018 #2
I think they mean Mississippi NewJeffCT Nov 2018 #3
MS. But it is a forgettable state in many ways. Blue_true Nov 2018 #5
538 gives Espy a 25% chance marylandblue Nov 2018 #4
Thats a lot better than I expected jcgoldie Nov 2018 #7
The Predictit number is 9 cents Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #10
"In Mississippi, Republican concern rises over a U.S. Senate runoff that should have been a romp" brooklynite Nov 2018 #6
Thanks NewJeffCT Nov 2018 #9
I've been looking daily, but so far I haven't seen anything since before Election Day Polybius Nov 2018 #8

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
5. MS. But it is a forgettable state in many ways.
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 09:50 PM
Nov 2018

Even as it is fantastic in some ways. Sad that too many Whites there still cling to religion and racism.

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
4. 538 gives Espy a 25% chance
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 09:39 PM
Nov 2018

It's based on polls before the election, but took the runoff into account. Not bad chances for Mississippi.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
10. The Predictit number is 9 cents
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 11:24 PM
Nov 2018

So basically 9%

IMO, that is a far superior number than 538's version. Nate's model has been overly friendly to senate Democrats this year. He was at 34% toward control when other mathematical models were at 18%.

Like Texas, simply too many conservatives in Mississippi.

https://www.predictit.org/legacy/Market/4226/Who-will-win-the-2018-US-Senate-special-election-in-Mississippi

brooklynite

(94,950 posts)
6. "In Mississippi, Republican concern rises over a U.S. Senate runoff that should have been a romp"
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 10:06 PM
Nov 2018

Espy remains the underdog in the conservative state, but Republicans with access to private polling say Hyde-Smith’s lead has narrowed significantly in recent days. Republicans need only to look to next-door Alabama, where Democrat Doug Jones pulled out a surprise win last year, to stoke concern.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-mississippi-republican-concern-rises-over-a-us-senate-runoff-that-should-have-been-a-romp/2018/11/17/fcfa8b24-e9d9-11e8-bbdb-72fdbf9d4fed_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.6a81d3c033e1

Polybius

(15,522 posts)
8. I've been looking daily, but so far I haven't seen anything since before Election Day
Sun Nov 18, 2018, 10:30 PM
Nov 2018

I'm surprised there hasn't been any on RCP.

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