Granite State Poll- Biden 23% Sanders 13% Harris 13%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Firehouse Strategies NH

Biden
22%
Sanders
13%
Harris
13%
Warren
9%
Booker
4%
O'Rourke
2%
Klobuchar
2%
Gillibrand
0%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

[theboss]

1. If the field gets as big as it appears to be getting, Biden is nuts not to run

He'll win a 20 vote split on name recognition alone in NH and IA.

We can do worse than Biden obviously, but both parties to figure out this "everyone into the pool" primary problem.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Sanders won NH 60-38

So much of his support was a function of his being one of two candidates.

[theboss]

6. Sanders isn't Biden

And Biden doesn't have Hillary's unfavorable numbers. Protest votes aren't automatically going to anyone.

If Sanders and Hillary had been in a 20 person race, she still would have gotten 30 percent and swamped everyone - just like Trump did over and over again. Trump won blowouts while have 70 percent of the voters against him.

[Garrett78]

5. A year from now, others will be much better known.

And the reasons why Biden has twice come up way short in his attempt to get nominated, combined with his age, may prevent him from doing as well as some expect him to do.

If Warren drops out, that'll help Biden in New Hampshire. Sanders would take some votes from him in New Hampshire.

Of course, it's absurd that 2 states that don't reflect our electorate kick things off. That needs to change at some point, along with doing away with all caucuses.

[honest.abe]

2. Not a good sign for Sanders given he trounced Clinton here in 2016.

NH should be in his wheelhouse given proximity to Vermont and similar demographic.

[lark]

4. Almost guarantee that Klobuchar will move up the list after she announces.

Looking forward to the debates and the primaries and we will see how the people vote and who is chosen. I feel really good about our prospects, minus Russian Reug vote hacking and rat fucking.