President Obama’s formula for winning in November is 80/40. Mitt Romney’s is 61/74. Here’s why.

[kpete]

President Obama’s formula for winning in November is 80/40. Mitt Romney’s is 61/74. Here’s why.

If Obama nudges past 80 percent among minorities (which seems very possible) or the minority vote share rises (also possible, though less probable), the president could gain reelection while winning only about 38 percent of white votes. Conversely, if the white proportion of the vote increases just a single percentage point (to 75 percent), and Romney records any gains among minorities, he could shave his winning number to a more manageable 59 percent of whites.

On its face, the math is tougher for Romney. If he reaches 61 percent among whites, he would equal the best performance ever for a Republican presidential challenger with that group of voters: Dwight Eisenhower in 1952, Ronald Reagan in 1980, and George H.W. Bush in 1988 each won between 56 percent and 61 percent of white voters, according to polls at the time.

http://nationaljournal.com/columns/political-connections/the-new-math-of-presidential-elections-20120823

[unblock]

1. the real question is how many people can be manipulated by the kind of b.s. money can spread.

because rmoney's strategy boils down to buying as much b.s as possible and spreading it around in the swing states and hoping that republicans run to the polls to get away from the stink while democrats slip and fall and get stuck in it.

also he's buying some counting machines and electoral officials to keep the wrong kind of people away from the polls.

sadly it's a strategy that's proven effective. the only question is, will he be able to raise the money needed to cover the giant mountain of manure he's gonna need for this plan to work?