General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWatched Lawrence O'Donnell's show last night and wondered if history will repeat itself again
He laid out the history of "Primary Challengers" for incumbent presidents, from Lyndon Johnson to the present.
Every incumbent president who had a primary challenger (starting with Johnson) did not win a second term, even if they secured the nomination. Johnson, of course. chose to not seek a second term. Every other incumbent did not win a second term.
Trump has a primary challenger.
Waiting to see if history repeats itself.
49jim
(560 posts)Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)In 2020, I would not look at any aspect of the election and expect history to repeat itself.
Still, it's a pattern, and it makes you wonder.
We'll see.
olegramps
(8,200 posts)thegoose
(3,115 posts)And all I gotta say is...
Please please please!!!
FakeNoose
(32,734 posts)Lawrence likes to finish his show on a hopeful upbeat note. It's one of the many things I like about him.
JI7
(89,262 posts)are the only way trump can "win".
Cary
(11,746 posts)It is as simple as that. We have everything we need to save ourselves, including every reason to do it. Everything else is noise.
groundloop
(11,521 posts)Cary
(11,746 posts)NewJeffCT
(56,828 posts)The Trump-run RNC has been busily working at rigging the primary process so early states can skip primaries and just endorse Trump.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/02/trump-2020-republican-party-purge-delegates
https://apnews.com/33438efb7d794b5caf0b60f815192500
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/romneys-attack-prompts-call-to-protect-trump-from-2020-primary-challenger
Even in an open field without an incumbent, Weld would have little chance because he's too moderate for the GOP base. I hope he can last through the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary. Heck, if I lived in NH I might re-register as a Republican just so I could vote for Weld.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)of competition altogether he might have a chance.
Libertarian Weld has a long relationship with the Kochs and others in their alliance, though, and if Trump were to fall they might support him -- rather than bring in another candidate if that were legally possible. Pence is closer still to the Kochs, though, and is also strongly supported by the religious right, a giant chasm in Weld's qualifications.
bullwinkle428
(20,630 posts)interview I listened to this morning. Weld actually praised the big tax cut that Chump pushed through, and then literally in the same breath, condemned him for blowing up the deficit.
Is he really that stupid not to see the connection, or just craven?
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)false as it may be, and get behind anything from that figure.
CharleyDog
(758 posts)Bush was a complete failure, but they completely forgot about Bush (Bush who?) and loved to harangue and obstruct Obama because deficits.
Republicans don't care about the damn deficit and Weld will have to find a new talking point.
Freethinker65
(10,037 posts)Yes, Trump would lose the Presidency, but the GOP could perhaps reclaim the House after two years and they might even hold onto the Senate in 2020.
Many conservatives hate having Trump as the face and spokesman for their party.
C_U_L8R
(45,019 posts)There's only one Republican challenger to Trump??!! Who is without doubt the worst President ever. Republicans have really lost the script (and their souls).
ananda
(28,875 posts).. and social media manipulation cost us the last election ..
.. and still hasn't stopped.
This worries me.
Cosmocat
(14,570 posts)He's a gnat dead on Trump's windshield.
We have to see if there's any viable Republican who will do what needs to be done, very doubtful.
William Seger
(10,779 posts)... so it might depend on Trump's poll numbers when the primaries start.
mountain grammy
(26,645 posts)the real polls or the polls he makes up and his suckers believe?
unimaginable
trotsky
(49,533 posts)He *is* their party now. If there are any sane Republicans left, if they value their country over their party, they should work to elect Democrats.
malchickiwick
(1,474 posts)DeminPennswoods
(15,290 posts)He said something like every report has footnotes and the McCloskey was the footnote to what he was about to discuss. McCloskey dropped out after NH primary, so his challenge to Nixon was very short-lived.
Texin
(2,597 posts)He has a supine McConnell that's allowing him to do pretty much anything and everything he wants to do. It's a long way to November 2020, and he's repacking the federal courts as I type this.
I've said it before, and I'll reiterate it now. He is not leaving this WH under any circumstance unless it's in a body bag on a gurney. He will not resign and will refuse to accept the results of this upcoming election or any other *election* thereafter. With Barr enabling and propping him, he will rule like a modern day Tsar. The only thing left for people to do in that case will be nothing short of revolution.
LiberalArkie
(15,728 posts)Cary
(11,746 posts)Do the math.
LakeArenal
(28,837 posts)Thats one of the huge problems.
The skewing of the stories
I especially dislike the hyperbole of Democrats being in disarray and
Stunned by this report or that report.
Most of us really love most of the candidates. Thats the difference between us and Pukes. We can be happy with almost anyone. Once there is a candidate, the party will support them.
Irishxs
(622 posts)Lawrence made it oh so clear.