Trump predicted to lose reelection in model that forecasted Democratic takeover of House

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

The prediction model that accurately predicted Democratic gains in the House four months before the 2018 midterm elections says President Trump will lose his reelection bid.

The latest "Negative Partisanship" model by Rachel Bitecofer, the assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, released Monday, predicts Trump will lose the Electoral College 278-197.

Bitecofer highlighted Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as states the incumbent will have difficulty winning this time around.

"The complacent electorate of 2016, who were convinced Trump would never be president, has been replaced with the terrified electorate of 2020, who are convinced he's the Terminator and can't be stopped," she said. "Under my model, that distinction is not only important, it is everything."

She also pointed to his low approval rating among independents as an impediment to a second term.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-predicted-to-lose-reelection-in-model-that-forecasted-democratic-takeover-of-house/ar-AADHrcS?li=BBnbcA1

[UTUSN]

1. To Zeus' ear!

[rufus dog]

3. Confused

The total EVs don't add up. 538 total EVs they have only 475 and the article doesn't state which states are being dropped.

[struggle4progress]

4. For chickens: (a) hatch (b) count

[Permanut]

5. Sounds like pretty much a sure thing..

just like when the UK Independent, Five Thirty Eight, HuffPost, Moody's, the New York Times,Reuters, Quinnipiac University and others predicted that Hillary Clinton would win in 2016. Nothing to worry about here.

[uponit7771]

6. Model does not factor Trump enabling Russian hacking