Donald Trump's state-by-state popularity shows 2020 Electoral College wipeout, but president has

[TexasTowelie]

Link to tweet

Donald Trump’s state-by-state popularity shows 2020 Electoral College wipeout, but president has path to victory


One year from now, the Democrats will have chosen their presidential nominee and the general-election campaign will be underway.

Will Joe Biden or Kamala Harris or -- who knows? -- Steve Bullock look unbeatable as the race turns white-hot? Or will President Donald Trump rouse independents and use the power of incumbency to head into the homestretch as the favorite?

No one knows, but most everyone likes to guess. Politidope executive vice president Matt Rogers is splitting the difference by using data to estimate what the 2020 election results would be if people voted by state based on Trump’s job-approval rating right now. That produces an interesting Electoral College map, one that shows the Democratic nominee blowing past the 270 votes needed for election and making it all the way to 327. But it also indicates there’s a path for Trump to carve out a re-election victory if, as in 2016, the key votes fall his way.

Republicans have reason to believe the actual Electoral College map will be redder on Election Day. The above map, based on data from analytics company Civiqs, has Georgia right now voting against Trump. But the Peach State has voted for every GOP nominee since 1996, and Republicans certainly will be looking to hold it in line. Other states in the blue category right now that normally are red: Arizona and North Carolina. (This map is also giving a few traditionally red states to Trump where he’s technically under 50 percent but within the margin of error. Examples: Florida, at 49 percent, and Texas, also at 49 percent.)

Read more: https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2019/07/donald-trumps-state-by-state-popularity-shows-2020-electoral-college-wipeout-but-president-has-path-to-victory.html

[Iliyah]

1. You mean with Russia's help

And racism

[JI7]

2. and people like Chuck Todd

[onetexan]

3. Good morning! Darn that's a beautiful map.

Thank you for posting TT!

"I pray you'll be our eyes
And watch us where we go
And help us to be wise
In times when we don't know
Let this be our prayer
When we lose our way

Lead us to a place
Guide us with your grace
To a place where we'll be safe"

[TexasTowelie]

4. Yes, it's pretty,

but I wouldn't mind seeing it prettier. It would be nice to go from coast to coast without ever stepping through a GOP state.

[Recursion]

5. Man do I love the sight of that blue Georgia

It can be done.

[Arkansas Granny]

6. If McConnell keeps killing bills to protect election integrity, none of this matters.

We could just ask Putin who he wants and be done with it.

[In It to Win It]

7. Fucking Florida...

[Thekaspervote]

8. Blue indeed!

[delisen]

9. Georgia votes on easily hackable Diebold machines w/no paper trail

Votes can be changed and there is no ability to actually recount.

Additionally there is a there is a history of voter suppression.

Vote counting and voting prevention and suppression will continue to be the likely decider in elections

[lindysalsagal]

11. You're right of course, but after Stacy Abrahms did so well, they'll have a huge dem turnout

so, hopefully, that alone will make it obvious if they rig enough precincts to turn it red.

[rampartc]

10. the 2016 results counsel caution.

trump is a snake, i won't believe he is dead until his rattle is hanging from my rear view mirror.

[Takket]

12. The map before Election Day 2016 was pretty good as well

GOTV

or four more years of drumpf.