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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAnalysis: 2 troubling signs for Trump in this new Fox News poll
President Trump fails to crack 40 percent in any matchup with a potential 2020 opponent in a new Fox News poll. And that may not be the worst of it for him.
The new Fox poll is arguably Trumps worst of the early polls testing potential general-election matchups. He trails Joe Biden by 12 percentage points (50 percent to 38 percent), Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.) by nine points (48 to 39), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) by seven (46 to 39) and Sen. Kamala D. Harris (Calif.) by six (45 to 39). Thats tied for his biggest deficit to date against Warren, according to RealClearPolitics, and its close to his biggest deficits against the others, too.
Its just one poll of course, and even high-quality polls have margins of error. Its possible Trumps support percentage is really in the 40s, just like in most other polls.
But if you drill down, there are a couple other problematic pieces of this poll for Trump.
The first is his vote share versus his approval rating. There has been plenty of talk about Trumps consistently low approval rating and how it sets him up for reelection. But in this poll, he doesnt even completely lock down that vote. While he gets 38 to 39 percent in all four matchups, his approval rating is actually 43 percent. That means roughly 4 percent of registered voters say they approve of Trump but theyre not ready to vote for him.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/analysis-2-troubling-signs-for-trump-in-this-new-fox-news-poll/ar-AAFTEUZ?li=BBnb7Kz
Lowered expectations.
BlueMississippi
(776 posts)Let news like this keep coming
empedocles
(15,751 posts)Thekaspervote
(32,785 posts)Heres an interesting post from this morning... Jason Easley
4. Josh Marshall at TPM has a "Prime Members only" discussion of this...
Here is his final paragraph:
"I've said before that I think conventional wisdom is simply wrong about the 2020 election. President Trump is in much worse shape than people realize. An incumbent President with what at least until the last few days of warning signs remains a strong economy who cant get to 40% against any of his probable challengers is in bad shape. Theres [sic] just no two ways about that. There may be limited utility in spreading that word. You want to run like youre behind. But running like youre behind can also turn into an enervating defeatism. So it is worth focusing on just how poor a position he seems to be in."