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SKKY

(11,804 posts)
Wed Nov 6, 2019, 10:16 PM Nov 2019

The single most important lesson from last night's elections...

...is Dems win when we vote in large numbers. The last gubernatorial election in Kentucky, just over 950k voted. Last night 1.4 million voted. The last Virginia state elections, 29% voter participation. Last night? 42%. This is our secret sauce folks.

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The single most important lesson from last night's elections... (Original Post) SKKY Nov 2019 OP
Yep! We need to appeal to our own base for a change... JoeOtterbein Nov 2019 #1
"for a change?" ehrnst Nov 2019 #21
Did more Rethugs vote in both states as well?? NoMoreRepugs Nov 2019 #2
For sure, but not in the same numbers as Dems.... SKKY Nov 2019 #3
repubs will fight to the bitter end nt msongs Nov 2019 #4
And so should we...nt SKKY Nov 2019 #5
Yep! kentuck Nov 2019 #6
High turnout favors Dems... Wounded Bear Nov 2019 #7
My 2 cents... BadGimp Nov 2019 #8
I agree with you edhopper Nov 2019 #9
Dems turnout will be lower if DU posters persist in attacking Dem Prez candidates. nt Prof.Higgins Nov 2019 #10
No but if they continue attacking each other. pangaia Nov 2019 #12
It won't, there really aren't enough of us here to have any impact on the electorate. Agschmid Nov 2019 #19
Judging from the peak views nitpicker Nov 2019 #22
And remember they aren't unique views, just all views. Agschmid Nov 2019 #23
Hell yes! We get the vote out in 20 we win. And big. GulfCoast66 Nov 2019 #11
And just to further the point. SKKY Nov 2019 #14
Contrary to what many insist, our focus needs to be on boosting turnout of the base. Garrett78 Nov 2019 #16
I think Trump drives our turnout, just by being himself. NCLefty Nov 2019 #13
Exactly!! iluvtennis Nov 2019 #15
There are Dems/Independents who still don't vote and we need to try and encourage them to vote blue dustyscamp Nov 2019 #17
Even in my precinct (in Arlington VA) where only the county board race was contested nitpicker Nov 2019 #18
Yep! And we need to keep this up, regardless of who our nominee is! SKKY Nov 2019 #20

SKKY

(11,804 posts)
3. For sure, but not in the same numbers as Dems....
Wed Nov 6, 2019, 10:21 PM
Nov 2019

...plus, there are more registered Democrats in Kentucky than there are Republicans, so there’s another reason.

BadGimp

(4,015 posts)
8. My 2 cents...
Wed Nov 6, 2019, 11:30 PM
Nov 2019

The GOP had the Election rigged. They only needed for the turn out to be a bit lower.

The vote totals were too damn close, and their plans would have worked if they had not been swamped with voters.

I watched the Great Kornacki on MSNBC and it was obvious they planned to wait till most people went to bed to finish fixing the final count, but they waited too long.

This election ain't over ... just watch.

edhopper

(33,575 posts)
9. I agree with you
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 12:00 AM
Nov 2019

the sad state we are in is we need to win by 5% to10% to eke out a marginal win due to GOP fraud and theft.

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
19. It won't, there really aren't enough of us here to have any impact on the electorate.
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 09:02 AM
Nov 2019

How many active members do you think we have?

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
22. Judging from the peak views
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 02:02 PM
Nov 2019

Of about 5000K on a thread:

Maybe 1000 or so.

I haven't seen more than 300 recs on a thread.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
11. Hell yes! We get the vote out in 20 we win. And big.
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 12:14 AM
Nov 2019

Obama won here twice in Florida.

If we get out our vote we will win again without hoping some voters switch. Which won’t happen.

I’m committed to working with my county Democratic Party to get out the vote. We won’t win our gerrymandered district. But in the presidential election we can win here again.

Trump is counting on getting even more of his peckerwood supporters out in 20 than 16. But that’s not happening. Every one of his racist supporters drug themselves out and and voted for him. We know his ceiling. We just need to beat it.

We get Obama level numbers we easily win.

SKKY

(11,804 posts)
14. And just to further the point.
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 12:29 AM
Nov 2019

We only lost the last election by 77,740 votes across three states. This shouldn’t be a hard election to get up for.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
16. Contrary to what many insist, our focus needs to be on boosting turnout of the base.
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 01:37 AM
Nov 2019

POC, youth and white suburban women in particular.

There's going to be voter suppression (such as closing polling sites) and foreign interference and a lot of dark money and gerrymandering, and we need to raise hell about all those things. But if turnout is as high as 2008, or just significantly higher than it was in 2016, we can overcome shenanigans.

Trump fatigue is real, and he no longer has 'newness' going for him. In 2016, I suspect there were a good number of voters who essentially said, "I'll give Trump a shot; he won't win anyway." And hundreds of thousands of Obama voters, across key states, simply didn't vote in 2016, largely because Clinton was vilified for a quarter of a century. Comey's last minute announcement probably hurt, too. I like our chances of winning WI, PA and MI. Prior to 2016, we had won Wisconsin for 7 straight presidential elections. We had won Pennsylvania and Michigan for 6 straight presidential elections. I also think we have a great chance in FL, NC, AZ and GA (in that order). Maybe even OH, though it's been trending older and whiter, and Clinton lost Ohio by a wide margin.

Trump's "strongly approve" number is in the 20s, and his "strongly disapprove" number is nearly twice as high. His net approval rating is negative, or deeply negative, in virtually every swing state. I doubt any president has ever won re-election with numbers like Trump has currently.

The 2018 and 2019 elections provide more reasons to be hopeful.

My biggest concern is desperate people doing desperate things. Trump and Co. are desperate to retain power.

NCLefty

(3,678 posts)
13. I think Trump drives our turnout, just by being himself.
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 12:18 AM
Nov 2019

He makes you want to knock him in the teeth, and voting is a real way to do that.

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
18. Even in my precinct (in Arlington VA) where only the county board race was contested
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 08:50 AM
Nov 2019

Last edited Thu Nov 7, 2019, 01:44 PM - Edit history (1)

((all the rest of the races had Dems without organized opponents))

Between the in-person voting and absentee ballot requests, we got 35% turnout. Even with a bunch of those usually voting R sitting out this one.

I brought a number puzzle book for the dreaded 1-3pm lull, but I scarcely got to use it.

The in-person demographics were similar to most off-years, with the house-owned, townhouse dwellers, and high-rise renters showing up, with a sprinkling of the garden apartment people.

There was even an 18-year old voting!

SKKY

(11,804 posts)
20. Yep! And we need to keep this up, regardless of who our nominee is!
Thu Nov 7, 2019, 10:29 AM
Nov 2019

Because while the Republican numbers will increase as well, it won't be in the same numbers as Democrats. And that's the tea.

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