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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,972 posts)
Sat Feb 29, 2020, 09:45 PM Feb 2020

At Least Half A Million People Are Infected With Coronavirus In China

China isn't a country that cares a lot about human lives or human rights. Their #1 focus is economic growth and progress. So, I was a little surprised when I first heard about China's draconian policies about containing the coronavirus epidemic.

Just a few weeks earlier, Chinese government officials tried to silence whistle blowers, hide data, and downplay the significance of this deadly virus outbreak. I am not trying to score political points here. I am just trying to understand what is really going on, so that I make the right decisions regarding my family and my investments.

According to New York Times, more than 150 million people in China are "living under government restrictions on how often they can leave their homes". Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) closed more than half of its stores in China in January and they stayed closed until a couple of days ago. Currently 15% of Starbucks' stores are still closed. YUM China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC) closed 30% of its KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell stores and sales were down nearly 50% in open stores. I don't think the situation is much different in industries either.

Basically, China put a large percentage of its cities and economy in a virtual lockdown. Why? They only reported 80,000 coronavirus cases and nearly 3000 deaths. Are these numbers really accurate?

In a separate article we calculated the new coronavirus' fatality rate. The upper bound for our estimate is 0.5%. The actual rate is likely to be between 0.2% and 0.5%. COVID-19 isn't as deadly as we feared. That's the good news. Unfortunately, it is a very stealthy virus that can easily evade detection.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/least-half-million-people-infected-202153407.html

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At Least Half A Million People Are Infected With Coronavirus In China (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 2020 OP
! dchill Feb 2020 #1
The perspective here is that China's total populaton is over 1.43 BILLION people. abqtommy Feb 2020 #2
I'd be very careful relying on this source for virus statistics. defacto7 Feb 2020 #3
This is completely ignoring ages of infected and the dead Roland99 Feb 2020 #4
I think the number infected is much larger than 500k. tandem5 Feb 2020 #5

defacto7

(13,485 posts)
3. I'd be very careful relying on this source for virus statistics.
Sat Feb 29, 2020, 10:50 PM
Feb 2020

It's a biased report by rather unknown persons leaning toward financial concerns rather than known science. Take it with a grain of salt until the known experts agree. A PHD in tech and media is not Epidemiology.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
4. This is completely ignoring ages of infected and the dead
Sat Feb 29, 2020, 11:00 PM
Feb 2020

No mention whatsoever

It’s a much higher fatality rate in those 50+ than the younger

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