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MelissaB

(16,420 posts)
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 11:47 AM Mar 2020

Scoop: Data shows 1 in 6 in Chinese prov tested + suggesting scale of epidemic larger than acknow.

Scoop: Data we have obtained show that in one Chinese prov, asymptomatic #COVID19 cases exceed 1 in 6 individuals tested positive, but are kept out of published "confirmed cases," suggesting scale of epidemic larger than acknowledged.




China’s Decision to Leave Asymptomatic Patients off Coronavirus Infection Tally Sparks Debate

China’s decision to exclude individuals who carry the new coronavirus but show no symptoms from the country’s public tally of infections has drawn debate over whether this approach obscures the scope of the epidemic, with a document received by Caixin showing a significant proportion of one province’s cases show no symptoms.

Since early February, the National Health Commission (NHC) has concluded that “asymptomatic infected individuals” can infect others and demanded local authorities to report those cases. However, the commission has also decided not to include these people in its statistics for “confirmed cases” or indeed to release data on asymptomatic cases.

On Feb. 25, in Northeast China’s Heilongjiang province there were 104 asymptomatic infected individuals, according to a Feb. 26 Heilongjiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention document obtained by Caixin. That same day the province said (link in Chinese) it had 480 “confirmed cases,” a tally which did not include the 104 asymptomatic cases.

More: https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-03-01/chinas-decision-to-leave-asymptomatic-patients-off-coronavirus-infection-tally-sparks-debate-101522529.html
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Scoop: Data shows 1 in 6 in Chinese prov tested + suggesting scale of epidemic larger than acknow. (Original Post) MelissaB Mar 2020 OP
Great central scrutinizer Mar 2020 #1
In a nutshell: Mike 03 Mar 2020 #2
I don't know what the failure rate of the test kits are Johonny Mar 2020 #3
gotta love those commies... Javaman Mar 2020 #4

Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
2. In a nutshell:
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:01 PM
Mar 2020
China’s decision to exclude individuals who carry the new coronavirus but show no symptoms

+

“asymptomatic infected individuals” can infect others


= Huge Mistake

Johonny

(20,840 posts)
3. I don't know what the failure rate of the test kits are
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 12:16 PM
Mar 2020

So I don't know how many false positives to expect. I doubt anyone does. Seems dumb to throw out data at this stage, though.

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