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jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 05:58 PM Mar 2020

Want to game some actual scenarios?

Instead of these weird "the elections will be cancelled" musings, there are some actual possibilities that are worth considering how they might play out.

1. Infected Senate:

Chart out which states allow the Governor to appoint replacement Senators, which ones don't, and the ages of existing Senators in those states.

Rank the Senate by age, set a baseline probability of, say, 2% due to a lot of public contact, and then add 5% for each 5 years over age 60.

Roll the dice, and assume Governors will make fast partisan appointments, and that special election seats will remain vacant.

For special election states, they might just wait until the general anyway, but they might rush special elections because....

2. Merrick GarLand O' The Lost:

How quickly do you think the slowest moving legislative body on earth might act to nominate replacement Supreme Court justices if necessary.

Or, what are the odds they could hold off an appointment under various scenarios constructed under procedure 1 above.

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Want to game some actual scenarios? (Original Post) jberryhill Mar 2020 OP
Someone needs to come up with a virus game. There doc03 Mar 2020 #1
My God, RGB must be protected and placed in quarantine Under The Radar Mar 2020 #2
the SCOTUS building is now closed to the public as of this afternoon. GemDigger Mar 2020 #3
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