Poll: Trump holds double-digit lead in Iowa over Biden and Sanders

[riversedge]

OMG> what the F. is wrong with people!!






Poll: Trump holds double-digit lead in Iowa over Biden and Sanders
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/487277-poll-trump-holds-double-digit-lead-in-iowa-over-biden-and-sanders



By Tal Axelrod - 03/12/20 02:06 PM EDT


President Trump holds strong leads over both former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in potential head-to-head matchups in Iowa, according to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Thursday.

Trump leads Biden among likely voters by a 51 percent to 41 percent margin, with 8 percent of voters saying they are undecided in the hypothetical matchup.

Trump gets the support of 53 percent of likely voters in a matchup with Sanders, who gets 41 percent support. Six percent of voters are undecided in a Trump-Sanders head-to-head.

The president is buoyed by a net-positive approval rating — 50 percent of Iowans approve of the job he’s doing, while 47 percent disapprove. Thursday’s poll marks the first time in which Trump’s approval rating has broken even in the survey.

“That is a high-water mark in the Iowa Poll,” said J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Co., which conducted the survey...........................

[TwilightZone]

1. It's been red for a while now. Trump won it by 10 points, almost exactly the same margin.

[Thomas Hurt]

2. Conservatives will debase themselves and ruin their own lives for Trump. Look at Sessions

[tman]

3. What's wrong with Iowa?

Obama won it twice. Why is it not even close?

[Bettie]

17. The smart people leave

especially the younger ones. What we have left are the dregs.

I would love to live elsewhere, but this is where my DH's job is.

[dhol82]

4. Wow, I was going to call fantasy on this one but -

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ann_Selzer

Wow. I can’t believe any state is that red.

[Raven123]

5. A black hole for Democratic campaign resources.

[empedocles]

6. Poll: March 2-5. Hmmm?

[ibegurpard]

7. MAGA cultists would rather die

Than admit they were wrong. The worse it gets because of him the tighter they will cling to him. And by MAGA cultists i mean all Republicans and right leaners. What in the past 4 years has shown us any different? The only reason we've been winning elections is because we've been turning out everyone else.

[Hermit-The-Prog]

8. Fox propaganda is non-stop -- blames Dems for coronavirus scare.

I live in a red county that went almost 80% trump. All the GOPers are talking about coronavirus and failed impeachment in the same breath. It's not hard to figure out where they get this insane linkage.

[exboyfil]

9. Guns, evangelicals, abortion, and white people

I thought we were changing with getting two new Democratic representatives, but I guess I was wrong. The farmer bail out money and expanded ethanol are big drivers in the state.

[Midnight Writer]

13. Yes, I too was hopeful when Iowa elected Democratic Congressmen. We'll see come November.

[marble falls]

10. Its a poll. Its Iowa. We're still seven months away. At the same time we need to remember ...

POTUS is not the only office up for grabs. State legislatures seats are as important to us this year especially if we are going to fix and end GOP gerrymandering. We're getting the White House. We need to fight for every single office down to dog catcher, too.

[Thrill]

11. Don't waste money or time there

.

[Flaleftist]

12. He won Iowa by 10 points in 2016. I'm not surprised.

[MyOwnPeace]

38. Yeah, but..........

you'd like to think that some people would wake up and see reality, right?

[Flaleftist]

39. True. Maybe there is something about Iowa.

Just a few percent everywhere else will make a difference in in November.

[rufus dog]

14. Reason enough there to move the first primary out

Sorry, but any red state shouldn't have such impact on our candidate.

Nothing against the Dems in Iowa, but why should so much focus be put on a state that is red and lacks diversity.

[lunasun]

15. The farmer welfare ? Although I heard it went to big Agra mostly but maybe they didnt see the harm

of his policies . Plus when I was there pretty white on white so maybe holding on to their trump nationalism / racism feelies

[Lars39]

16. Stupid ass people

I mean really, WTF

[Azathoth]

18. Racism and nativism play well in the heartland

Same thing in the UK and other places.

[Maru Kitteh]

19. My effing a-hole BIL in Iowa could not fellate Trump fast enough.

So, not surprised.

[Tenngal]

20. Surrounded by Trump Zombies in TN.......

And it is maddening to listen to them constantly praising him.

[Awsi Dooger]

21. Iowa was always a very fragile state with comparatively few liberals

I took note of that once I began following political math in 1992. Iowa never had anywhere near the normal number of self-identified liberals given the reputation of the state or the way the state voted. It was always in the 19-21% range of liberals compared to 36-37% self-identified conservatives.

By all logic, that is a red state. The national gap used to be 12% more conservatives than liberals, but now it is down to 9%. Iowa still has the 17% gap but conservatives are up to 40% with liberals slightly up to 23%. The difference is we used to get a bizarre favorable split of self-identified moderates, in the 63-36 range. That is incredible and not sustainable. Beginning in 2016 the moderate split was a more logical 51-47.

Any state with 40% conservatives is not worth pursuing if it is trending in the wrong direction and the demographics are not favorable. The Iowa electorate is 90% whites. Those whites have shifted more conservative. There is no meaningful demographic to shift it back in our direction.

We can waste time in Iowa or we can emphasize a state like Arizona which is also 40% conservatives but all the demographic trends are in our favor.

[IADEMO2004]

22. People in tractors and trucks listening to hate radio all damn day long.

[a kennedy]

23. So how did a gay man for the Dems WIN IOWA???

[Turin_C3PO]

25. Because

it was a Democratic primary, not a general election where Repubs can vote. Iowa Dems are pretty liberal in my experience.

[Turin_C3PO]

24. Iowa's not in play this year.

I don’t think the Biden campaign should waste much time their. Or Ohio for that matter. Focus on the traditional three swing states as well as Florida, Arizona and maybe Georgia and North Carolina.

[Awsi Dooger]

33. I agree with that

Ohio is no chance and Iowa is no chance.

Arizona is in play, along with Florida then North Carolina. I am not optimistic about Georgia or Texas.

Texas will come later once the Hispanic population is better represented and participating, the second generation types.

There's always too much negativity toward Florida in this site. That state is always close but we end up on the short end. No question Florida is greater opportunity than Texas or Georgia right now but I'm sure Georgia and Texas will receive more hype here. Biden can win more of the 45+ block in Florida, partially because Trump's older supporters from 2016 have partially died out. The 65+ group is now including as many Baby Boomers as Silent Generation, which was always the most conservative generation.

[Turin_C3PO]

35. I was hoping you'd chime in.

I agree that we should definitely focus on Florida. Demographically, I’m excited for the future because it appears that Millennials who are approaching their forties are just as liberal as they were when they were twenty. As that population starts voting in greater numbers and the Silent Generation dies off, I think we’ll see the Republican’s power wane significantly.

[Fiendish Thingy]

26. Let's see how many Iowans die from COVID over the next 6 months

I bet that could change poll responses...

[Blue Owl]

27. Don Corona, the King of Iowa

[tarheelsunc]

28. Iowa is a total lost cause. We should devote absolutely zero resources to that state in the general.

[redstateblues]

29. The Primary fiasco didn't create an aura of competence.

Embarrassing

[FM123]

30. Iowa may just be too red to win this time around.

But if we win at least one of those purplish states like Florida (29 electoral votes) or Texas (38 electoral votes) we can overcome that loss of 6 in Iowa.

[edhopper]

31. No offense to any hawkeyes

But who gives a fuck about Iowa?

Let's keep our eye on MI, WI, PA and FL.

VA, NC, and AZ to.

It's only 6 fucking electoral votes.

[smirkymonkey]

32. Seriously, they are a lost cause.

We need to focus on states that matter.

[edhopper]

37. 6 electoral votes

Let them stew in their own ignorance.

[Turin_C3PO]

36. I think Virginia's a solid blue state now.

Otherwise, I concur completely with your post.

[IADEMO2004]

34. Iowa was 6-2 Blue last 8 presidential years Kerry Clinton Red years.

https://www.270towin.com/states/Iowa