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octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 06:16 PM Mar 2020

Real time evidence of flattening the curve. Shutdowns work.





Real-time evidence of flattening the curve. Lodi had the first Covid-19 case in Italy, and implemented a shutdown on Feb 23. Bergamo waited until March 8.
Look at the difference.

Incredible research by
@drjenndowd
,
@melindacmills
& co-authors. https://osf.io/fd4rh/?view_only=c2f00dfe3677493faa421fc2ea38e295


22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Real time evidence of flattening the curve. Shutdowns work. (Original Post) octoberlib Mar 2020 OP
I wish everyone in the whole world could see this. CaliforniaPeggy Mar 2020 #1
Just saw it on Twitter. Stay safe! octoberlib Mar 2020 #5
Believe me, I sure am, and thank you! CaliforniaPeggy Mar 2020 #8
Thank you for posting this since BigmanPigman Mar 2020 #2
You're welcome. I mean , it's really common sense. octoberlib Mar 2020 #3
A lot of people they don't have the sense they were born with. BigmanPigman Mar 2020 #4
And you know where they all live. Dem2theMax Mar 2020 #11
Way better... tho cases still rising... apcalc Mar 2020 #6
Could partly be from family members who already had it (& may not have known it) passing it deurbano Mar 2020 #15
Age-Specific COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates from Italy as of March 13, 2020 dalton99a Mar 2020 #7
Italy's only second to Japan in having the oldest population, I believe. octoberlib Mar 2020 #9
Thanks for this info. Sharing with family and friends (and we have them in Italia s well) nt iluvtennis Mar 2020 #12
This is the only Demographic district I've seen that breaks out 90+, thanks for posting. JudyM Mar 2020 #21
Let's tell Devin Nunes to print that graph out and place it somewhere. :) nt Sloumeau Mar 2020 #10
I have just the place. warmfeet Mar 2020 #14
Fantastic, just fantastic! Message is clear, stay home and do social distancing nt. iluvtennis Mar 2020 #13
We are fighting the virus and the Fox cult. Hermit-The-Prog Mar 2020 #16
Two week difference leighbythesea2 Mar 2020 #17
I got a stupid question.....................that someone may be able to answer turbinetree Mar 2020 #18
You are supposed to stay home and watch the media ScratchCat Mar 2020 #22
K & R & Retweeted! SunSeeker Mar 2020 #19
We're doing worse than Bergamo right now because of lack of unfettered testing uponit7771 Mar 2020 #20

CaliforniaPeggy

(149,739 posts)
1. I wish everyone in the whole world could see this.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 06:19 PM
Mar 2020

It is so clear and obvious.

Thank you for posting it, my dear octoberlib!

BigmanPigman

(51,642 posts)
2. Thank you for posting this since
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 06:19 PM
Mar 2020

I only saw it on CNN and MSNBC and referred to it in a thread here and someone wanted to know where the info came from and now I have a link.

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
3. You're welcome. I mean , it's really common sense.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 06:21 PM
Mar 2020

Don't congregate in public and you won't spread disease and get sick.

deurbano

(2,896 posts)
15. Could partly be from family members who already had it (& may not have known it) passing it
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 08:07 PM
Mar 2020

to others in the family w/whom they are locked down.

octoberlib

(14,971 posts)
9. Italy's only second to Japan in having the oldest population, I believe.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 06:53 PM
Mar 2020

Which explains their high death rate.

JudyM

(29,294 posts)
21. This is the only Demographic district I've seen that breaks out 90+, thanks for posting.
Mon Mar 16, 2020, 10:40 AM
Mar 2020

I’ve been wanting to see the difference between 80’s and 90’s. Relieved, in a way, that it isn’t 25% or more.

Sloumeau

(2,657 posts)
10. Let's tell Devin Nunes to print that graph out and place it somewhere. :) nt
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 07:36 PM
Mar 2020

Last edited Sun Mar 15, 2020, 11:21 PM - Edit history (1)

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,484 posts)
16. We are fighting the virus and the Fox cult.
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 08:13 PM
Mar 2020

The Grotesque Orange Pustule is trying to make the curve vertical.

leighbythesea2

(1,200 posts)
17. Two week difference
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 08:46 PM
Mar 2020

Am in ohio at the house i have here. Shutting down restaurants and bars today. Schools already. OSU down. We seem to be among the early group trying this. Ive been home as much as possible for weeks because i had been following the info for China. Lets see if we get a flattening here. God willing.

turbinetree

(24,726 posts)
18. I got a stupid question.....................that someone may be able to answer
Sun Mar 15, 2020, 08:53 PM
Mar 2020

lets say you are on fixed income, low income..................have mortgage, or paying rent, have a school debt, can't go anywhere...............what are you suppose to do, if you don't have $400 dollars in savings, because of the greed and the basic attack of corporations on unions, health care, people in general and what courts have done its damnedest to fuck people over for over 45+ years...................do you think we should have a freeze on everything until this thing is fixed...................if you can't go to work.....................

ScratchCat

(2,002 posts)
22. You are supposed to stay home and watch the media
Mon Mar 16, 2020, 10:47 AM
Mar 2020

Didn't you hear? That's the solution!! Stay home for eight weeks, watch the media and patronize their sponsors. Don't worry about anything else. Just watch your tv. Watch.Watch.Watch.

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