Trump still polling over 40%

[edhopper]

WTF America? Just WTF?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

To think this crisis means the end to Trump is wishful thinking.

Just wait till everyone gets their $1000. I am very worried about November.

[Thomas Hurt]

1. a very special mix of stupidity, ignorance, fear and hatred and Voila! fanatical christofascism.

[stillcool]

2. I'm worried about tomorrow...

[Turin_C3PO]

5. What's going on tomorrow?

[stillcool]

9. hopefully, my life.

if I'm alive in November I'll worry about the poll then.

[Turin_C3PO]

11. True.

I hope we’re all alive to vote this asshole out in November.

[ananda]

26. Same here.

I'm not even sure elections will be held in November.

[edhopper]

20. Not to minimize

what we are all going through till then.

[HarlanPepper]

29. That's actually a pretty good frame of mind

I stick with what’s in front of us at the moment and get through that.

[Turin_C3PO]

3. When the economy tanks

and the full extent of this crisis is laid bare, his approval rating will drop to 37%, like it was for a bit in 2017. Actually, as long as it stays below 45%, he won’t win re-election. Biden has the Obama coalition plus a fair chunk of the white working class. Polls right now show Biden ahead by 9-10 points. I’m fairly confident Trump is going to lose, big time.

[edhopper]

21. I know he won't get the popular vote

I worry about the Electoral College.

[Yavin4]

37. There's that word: "confident"

Sorry, but after 2016, we cannot afford to be "confident" about anything that has to do with Trump. Putin is still out there, and he knows that a Democratic president and congress will turn up the heat on him and his friends. He has a lot to lose with President Biden.

[Turin_C3PO]

41. Of course, we must have all hands on deck

to beat Trump. I definitely don’t disagree with that. But I do believe that he’ll be in a bad position to win re-election as things stand now. Things could change but I’m cautiously optimistic about our chances.

[TwilightZone]

4. His base isn't going to abandon him.

We really should know that by now. They're living in a different reality when none of this is his fault and the Democrats are still to blame for everything.

We have to understand it and plan accordingly, which means turnout, turnout, turnout. That could, of course, be a bit of a challenge by the time November rolls around, but it applies to his supporters, as well.

[Eyeball_Kid]

6. I'm starting to suspect

that Parscale has hacked into the polling companies’ databases. The 40% basement seems to be contrary to human nature.

[TwilightZone]

8. His floor is around 37%.

Which makes sense mathematically. 90% of the Rs, plus the majority of right-leaning independents.

As I noted above, they're not going to bail on him when the only sources they have for news are telling them that nothing is ever Don's fault and that Democrats are blame for everything.

[Turin_C3PO]

24. Yes,

like I said in a previous post, 37% is probably the lowest he can go. And I do expect him to hit that low when all is said and done. We’ll see, though, we will definitely need all hands on deck to get Trump out of office.

[Polybius]

33. I agree with that 37% floor

But why was W Bush's floor so much lower? I remember him polling much lower around 2006-2008 or so.

[TwilightZone]

38. The financial crisis, mostly.

Bush's approval rating dove largely because of the financial crisis, when even conservatives bailed on him.

I think Trump's is higher in part because the perception (not necessarily reality) is that the economy is decent, unemployment is low, the stock market was up, etc. Of course, that's all in for a major test now with CV.

I also think that the GOP has become even more hyperpartisan and a lot of it is just kneejerk defense of "their" guy. Plus, he's given many what they wanted anyway - conservative judges, tax cuts, etc. They may not agree with his methods, but he's doing what they want.

[jayfish]

10. Or Occam's Razor.

People are dumb. I just interacted with a group of them this morning. They were espousing Trumps sick "sleepy Joe" burn from yesterday while prepping for today's briefing. I haven't met a single Trump person who has changed their mind on him.

[edhopper]

22. Me neither

[Midnight Writer]

34. Nor I.

[Cosmocat]

27. It seems a conservative floor to the relentless stupidity in this country

The scream the loudest, but 40% seems like the lowest percent of mouth breathing imbeciles I meet in person or am exposed to online.

[uponit7771]

36. THIS !!!! There's op sec compliance for polling companies in the US !!

[andym]

7. Right Wing media propaganda has a deep hold on the country

Fox News, Rush and other radio talkers. If they are somehow able to push their influence over 50% we would be in even deeper trouble than we are now. Something has to be done about them.

[Celerity]

18. Fairness Doctrine their arses

[dawg day]

12. But now he's doing this press conference, and the others speak, including Pence,

and they sound relatively rational and focused. Then Trump shoves himself in front and starts blathering about how he's been abused and the media is mean to him and he is right always... and the market immediately drops, and so, I think, does his approval with anyone but his base.

He looks like an angry idiot.

'You don't know the numbers. YOU DON"T KNOW! You don't know!" There's all this aggression and gorilla dominance. I have the numbers and you don't!

No one who isn't already approving of him will approve now.

And he's saying the reporters should be farther away from each other, while he's hanging right over the other people on the stage.

I agree, though, if "he" sends checks out, some people might be swayed by that. So if that's going to be happening, I hope it's soon so that the effect wears off.

[ismnotwasm]

13. Deplorables are feeling very inconvenienced by the novel coronavirus

They think it’s overblown, and that the response is ridiculous

And personally I never, ever underestimate racism.

[ooky]

14. I don't believe even close to 40% approve of the way he has performed.

A lot of his support is because of "guns" or "socialism" or other such nonsense so they say they approve of him because of their ideological perspectives. But, to actually look at what he has done and say its good, one would have to have the reasoning ability of an amoeba to do that.

[JenniferJuniper]

15. Biden needs to run ads over and over

that show his reaction to this when we could have been working on tests, respirators, contingency planning...

Millions may die because of "Democrat hoax, media blowing this way out of proportion, this will be gone very soon, vaccine almost ready, totally under control..."

How many lives will be lost because of his total failure to act?

[SCantiGOP]

16. I think 40% are just completely and totally

anti-Democrat.
They would support anyone as the alternative to the Democrats.
I think there are two main reasons for this: one, if you have spent your life hating the left you can’t consider switching at this point without feeling like a complete fool; and two, nothing else matters more than maintaining control of this country by white people.
LBJ said that we had lost the South for a generation when he signed the 1964 Civil Rights Act. We are now in the third generation since then and the South is still hostile, and every other state has its own group of hateful racists who are motivated by fear of losing control and privilege.
Let’s just be hopeful and thankful that the number seems to have a ceiling in the low 40s.

[2naSalit]

17. As I have said...

I'm not accepting the polls anymore. Something is wrong and I think it's a ploy. Not sure how it's being done but I am pretty convinced that there is manipulation.

[Lulu KC]

19. +1

[JenniferJuniper]

23. Not sure I agree with you

I know plenty of brain-dead Trumpbots who think he is some sort of deity.

And I'm in Massachusetts.

[SCantiGOP]

28. Respectfully disagree

I assume you mean the 40%+ is too high.
In my neighborhood it would be about 75%; in my state it will probably be 55%.
When someone addresses their allegiance to trump with “It’s so much better than it was under Obama,” you know there is a large supply of stupidity out there.

[Blue_Tires]

25. People are locked in at this point

No minds are being changed -- Anybody pro or anti Trump this late in the game will remain so through November...

[no_hypocrisy]

30. Reminds of the 1212 Children's Crusades.

A charlatan (what else?) convinced countless numbers of parents throughout Europe to surrender their children to his care in order to take back Jerusalem from the infidel Muslims. The children were obedient and went with him. They were eventually sold into slavery.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Children%27s_Crusade

[Polybius]

31. I asked a Trump friend about this

His answer was something like "No matter if it's Trump or had it been Hillary, Covid-19 would still be here. It's all over the world, in liberal and conservative countries alike."

[onecaliberal]

32. I don't believe this poll.

[ibegurpard]

39. Believe it

The cult will follow him to their graves

[Dawson Leery]

35. 42% of the public would rather die than admit they were wrong.

The conservative can never admit their error as it shows weakness.

[mvd]

40. That moron denied the problem for over a month. How he could be above 40% is beyond me

The checks won’t help him much when his incompetence and cruelty will lead to a recession he won’t get us out of.

[edhopper]

42. His poll numbers are up this week.

WTF!!

I just don't get it?

[DFW]

43. Keep in mind

It is a fact of political life in the USA that Charles Manson, AFTER running down Hollywood Boulevard slashing the throats of passers-by on live television, would poll at 40% as long as there was an "R" after his name, and he repented as a Christian.

It is an advantage Republicans have that we do not, and frankly one I hope we never DO have.

[edhopper]

44. Sure

but his numbers are going UP! Not just staying at his 40%.

[gollygee]

45. How is that possible? He's sending masks to ICE instead of hospitals

He has all the worst priorities. He's a horrible leader.

[edhopper]

46. People

are stupid.