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denem

(11,045 posts)
4. Supposedly, more testing kits have become available,
Thu Mar 19, 2020, 05:24 PM
Mar 2020

so with more tests, more positive results. They should go back trump's original strategy, and strictly ration kits to keep the numbers down

Igel

(35,300 posts)
5. The numbers to watch, therefore, are deaths.
Thu Mar 19, 2020, 05:53 PM
Mar 2020

You see 1000 cases more than 2 weeks old with 1 death, there's a problem.

You see 100 cases with 20 deaths, there's a problem.

Odd transmission patterns could account for both. Or a mutation.

10,000 cases and 1 death might just mean that it spread quickly in the last few days.

Of course, there's the possibility that people are overlooking COVID deaths, or problems with disentangling comorbidities. But still, it's probably better than hoping for accurate test numbers.

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