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genxlib

(5,524 posts)
Sat Mar 21, 2020, 11:30 AM Mar 2020

Trump is betting on Zero

If you know Roulette, then you know that the typical wheel is split between red numbers and black numbers. But there are those real long shot green numbers.

It has finally gotten through his thick skull that there are very few good outcomes on this virus. A good leader would be decisive about mitigating the challenges and work towards the least bad solution.

So here are the options.

We can bet on RED which is to let the virus run its course and kill millions of Americans.

We can bet on BLACK which is to isolate our way into an economic Depression

Or we can bet on GREEN which is to hope for a cure. It is a long shot but it is the only possible winning bet for him.

To be fair, an effective treatment would be a game changer. A therapy that drastically changed the mortality and severity of the illness would suddenly let us get back to a semblance of normality while the vaccine was being developed. But understand that it is a longshot and would likely only improve outcomes and not be a cure.

A true leader would be preparing for some form of Red or Black while pressing for every possible avenue to Green. Instead, he has bet everything on zero.

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Hugin

(33,135 posts)
1. What you say makes sense. Because, the green slice is the house advantage in Roulette.
Sat Mar 21, 2020, 11:36 AM
Mar 2020

At some point, while running several casinos into the ground. Old Yeller probably heard that fact.

But, and here's the kicker, the green slice is there to tilt the odds of all the other bets toward the house. The house doesn't BET on it.

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
2. Excellent analogy - thanks
Sat Mar 21, 2020, 11:47 AM
Mar 2020

It helps me see the true picture of the pResident's response.

As in all other cases - he cares only about himself and I think that it is also built into his psychology to believe that "daddy" will bail him out if he losses so there is no reason not to take the longshot.

jcgoldie

(11,631 posts)
3. I dont think Trump is capable of gaming out those possibilities as you have
Sat Mar 21, 2020, 11:51 AM
Mar 2020

I believe hes a self centered petulant child in denial and refusing to face reality... hes not “betting” on anything that would imply some acceptance of reality and actual outcomes.

PCIntern

(25,541 posts)
4. I'll see you and raise you a hundred...
Sat Mar 21, 2020, 11:56 AM
Mar 2020

The House derives it’s profits on the UNDERPAYMENT OF WINNINGS NOT THE COLLECTION OF LOSSES

He is now in a no-win situation. Nero fiddled while Rome burned. He’s screwed.

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