COVID-19 Projections

[Newest Reality]

This is for the entire country along with a drop-down menu to select a state. There is also information about restrictions implemented, etc.

It helps to assess just what we are looking at time wise in this crisis.

COVID-19 Projections

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

[AlexSFCA]

1. looks very optimistic

makes me a bit less scared.

[JCMach1]

2. It is a short-term projection unless they changed their

Model

[Croney]

3. That's still the April 1 data I believe.

I've been refreshing it ever since they said it would be updated today. Nothing yet.

[dweller]

4. you can pick your state

and see projections for it

✌🏼

[Newest Reality]

5. Yes.

You should see a drop down box near the top and middle of the page. If you click on that the list of states will appear.

[shanti]

6. California

Looks to be out of the woods around July 4.

[uponit7771]

7. ***WRONG DATA*** America is only doing 4000 test per million and is most likely lower because

... of NY per capita testing.

Unless we get our per capita up we're going blind.

There are more deaths in the US per hospitalized for a reason

[Doodley]

8. Very unrealistic projections.

[ornotna]

9. Excellent resource

Thanks

[Squinch]

10. Not this shit again. They're fucking with you. It's going to be multiples

of the number they're projecting.

I wish people would stop posting this silly site.

[mzmolly]

11. Is there a better model available?

http://www.healthdata.org/about/history

[Pobeka]

12. A non peer reviewed, unvalidated model formulation.

Personally I don't trust it. Apparently neither do a lot of epidemiologists who haven't seen the inner workings. I think Trump pounced on it because it has lower predictions and fits his idiotic view that america is greater than this virus. It's all about his ratings, not whether it's a good model or not.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/02/experts-trumps-advisers-doubt-white-houses-240000-coronavirus-deaths-estimate/

[mzmolly]

13. Interesting.

Thank you for sharing.