France records highest virus daily death toll

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

France has reported 833 new coronavirus deaths in the past day, the highest daily toll since its outbreak began.

"We have not reached the end of the end of the ascent of this epidemic," warned Health Minister Olivier Véran.

Italy's daily death toll also rose on Monday after several days of slowing, but Spain's fell for a fourth day.

It came as UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson was moved to intensive care at a hospital in London after his Covid-19 symptoms worsened.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/france-records-highest-virus-daily-death-toll/ar-BB12eXOY?li=BBnb7Kz

[StarryNite]

1. It keeps coming in waves.

[Igel]

2. Different areas are on different trajectories.

That's all. So far no second wave anywhere, except maybe Singapore (and that's easily accounted for--they didn't really have much of a first wave, they squashed it via containment ... which should make Taiwan concerned).

When you peak depends on when you start, how many "seeds" or initial infectors you have, and things like rate of transmission. After that, unless you tweak the rate of transmission it's set. Some areas peak faster than others, some peaks are higher than others, but for a large enough sample things are fairly predictable.

It's getting all the parameters right. IMHE still hasn't, they're still usually on the high side for their "most probable" numbers.

One good method I've seen is to gauge peaks not by date, but from days since X number of deaths or cases.

It's been hard to convince people that this really is the case, that it's hard to compare across jurisdictions on a given date, so they've been busy comparing and saying, "Look at X--their numbers are lower, so they must have a better/more moral/more caring/more efficient ... leader/system/method." I like when it's said that X has a better outcome than the US because they have a universal health system (like Italy's, no doubt; or France's). Germany's better (or are they merely later?)

Or they've been "over-convinced," so if North Dakota doesn't implement things like NYC has and suffer the same, they'll be responsible for mass death in the rest of the country. Places with a large rural population probably already have a lower R0 than urban areas.

One thing that matters is age and wellness distribution, which probably accounts for much of the difference in fatality rates.