Fri Apr 10, 2020, 02:06 PM

Michigan number looking terrible again. over 200 new deaths.

Meanwhile they are trying to recall that woman from Michigan for closing factories.

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2 replies	Author	Time	Post
Michigan number looking terrible again. over 200 new deaths. (Original post)	gibraltar72	Apr 2020	OP
New deaths reported.	Igel	Apr 2020	#1
Yes new 205 actually.	gibraltar72	Apr 2020	#2

Response to gibraltar72 (Original post)

Fri Apr 10, 2020, 02:59 PM

Igel (33,295 posts)

1. New deaths reported.

It's not a meaningless distinction. A lot of the spikes, dips, false peaks we see aren't due to reality but to how reality's reported.

Wait to see how curve smoothing works--some of the deaths may have occurred yesterday.

Projections for NY are going to be screwed as NY changes its basis for attributing deaths--either they find a way of factoring out that increase for the projection then add them back in, producing a step in an otherwise smooth curve; they recalculate from the beginning given modified data from day 1; or it'll screw with the math and make the predictions necessarily weird and inherently unusable. Which projection? Any.

Michigan number looking terrible again. over 200 new deaths.

1. New deaths reported.

2. Yes new 205 actually.