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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDeep Hate For The Cheap Thug Trump Is The Ground Of This Election, Ladies And Gentlemen
The pundits of our commentariat miss this, because their attitude towards politics is fundamentally frivolous. They view it as a species of pennant race, and themselves as either prognosticators or cheerleaders. Never as participants, never as people affected by the outcome.
Therefore they are blind to the deep emotions and passions which do move the people who turn out to vote. Especially when these emotions have no place in a civics textbook, and are things people are expected to rise above in performing a civic duty.
But is precisely these base feelings which move people most strongly. Racism, detestation of women and worship of the manly are standard features directing actual voters' behavior. Even more important is tribalism, the simple cultivation and satisfaction of group identity, of being joined with together people, with folks like you and me. There is love of a charismatic figure, identifying with this magical person and feeling the better for it. And there is hatred, hatred for a devil in human form, hatred for a devil who seeks destruction of the country and the things you love. Hatred for a devil who has got a good way towards success in wreaking the evil ends he desires.
Decent, patriotic citizens are today moved in overwhelming numbers by hatred for such a devil in human form, and make fewer and fewer bones daily about openly expressing their hatred, and mean to give it its fullest possible effect at the polls. There is nothing whatever wrong with this feeling, and people who have hearts too gentle for it would do well to get out of its way, for those moved by it do not want to hear about how 'this makes you just like them' or 'that's just going to hurt you worse'. People who know this devil must be destroyed do not care what success may cost themselves, and do not care what people may think of what they do. They are cheered by realizing there are many, many people who feel as they do, and know they constitute a tribe, a large and vigorous fighting tribe. That will destroy the devil or die trying.
This is the sort of thing people trying to show their understanding of 'the process' by successfully guessing what will happen next week, people who stand on the sidelines waving pom-poms and chanting ludicrous rhymes of encouragement or horror, simply cannot see, no matter how plainly they are spread before their eyes.
But it is there.
Heaven knows it is there.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
msongs
(67,462 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)By one enemy, many can be meant.
Defeating this cheap thug requires defeat of his minions, and their defeat encompasses his.
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)The measures of mediocre enthusiasm FOR Joe Biden or other Democrats we have occasionally been presented with are utterly meaningless right now. The enthusiasm to punish Repukes is off the charts.
liberalla
(9,266 posts)That it is!
ramen
(792 posts)The good news is that Biden is doing a bit better in lineups against him, but the bad news is that nearly half of the folks being asked say everything is fine. That doesn't seem "off the charts" to me. It seems scary and makes me look for every possible avenue to getting the Democratic vote out for Biden and all the downticket races. We are going to need everything we can muster, despite the 'situation' in the situation room..
uponit7771
(90,367 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)Shows 57% think the country is on the wrong track, with only 37% thinking it is one the right track. Presidential approval is a question that tends to call forth a tribal rather than a considered response. Our enemies have long relied on the baser emotions, since no mass support could possibly be had for their policies were these considered with a rational eye towards material self interest. That our political leadership does not seem to comprehend the emotional, even atavistic roots of political behavior has long been our enemy's chief prop. In this election, the people of our sort are way out in front of our leadership....
"Where are the people? I must hurry there to lead them!"
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
malaise
(269,219 posts)Rec
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)Home truths, as they say....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Solomon
(12,319 posts)crickets
(25,987 posts)dalton99a
(81,637 posts)c-rational
(2,596 posts)participants, never as people affected by the outcome." You nailed it. I could never understand how they acted so disconnected. Is it their love of money, their ego, or believing that having a big ego is a good thing. It is surely not a journalistic trait.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)Last edited Wed Apr 15, 2020, 12:23 PM - Edit history (1)
It seems to me the failing begins with the pundit's claim to superior knowledge.
There are two ways to convincingly display superior knowledge.
One is to make an accurate prediction.
The other is to see some reason for an event which lies beneath its surface.
The great flaw of the first is that it cultivates a detachment from the events, and inculcates a spirit similar to that of someone who follows sporting contests, without necessarily being a great fan of a particular team. Into the bargain, prior to an event, one may most easily show superior knowledge to one's audience by joining in a consensus view, and sharing the predictions of other experts. Thus errors compound, and a herd mentality is formed. Pundits pay no penalty for being wrong in their predictions (after all, who can really know the future?), and sustain their popularity by predicting things a certain audience segment wants to hear. That audience will continue to heed them regardless of whether their predictions prove out or not.
The great flaw of the second is twofold. There often are no deep underlying causes few people can discern. It is frequently the case, in dealing with people en mass that the least complex, most apparently surface factors, actually are what is going on. Probing 'beneath' these is not necessary. Further, when one does probe beneath the surface, expertise cannot be demonstrated if what one detects is pretty much what anyone would see in the situation. The underlying factors the pundit detects must be unique, they must be things no ordinary person would ever think of, that only an expert could discern. Such a search for novelty is unlikely to produce an accurate analysis.
Corrupting the matter further is the perceived need to be balanced in coverage of contenders, and the ludicrous idea of what constitutes balance. Two old saws from the days of 'Front Page' style newspapermen point the problem well....
"If your mother says she loves you --- check it out."
"If someone says it's raining and someone says it isn't, a journalist's job isn't to report that opinions differ, but to step outside and see if he gets wet."
c-rational
(2,596 posts)First, although many may believe the pundits possess superior knowledge, I have long let go of that idea. Most simply do not have the time nor inclination to dig deep into a subject to actually develop a superior knowledge. The phrase talking heads seems appropriate here.
Regarding predictions, reading your post, I kept thinking of bookies/gamblers. Most are not good prognosticators, just addicted to the act of betting. Pundits may fall into the same category, in that they are more interested in placing the bet than being correct in the outcome. On the other hand, I do appreciate meteorologists, and their art of making predictions, even if they are rarely successful, and I continue to tune in to their forecasts.
Regarding discerning some underlying truth, again I find most pundits do not probe. They simply read,. One notable exception that comes to mind is Rachael Maddow.
On the balance issue, I agree with your points. At our state of history, a truly reasoned and rational human would see there is no balance needed in the presentation of arguments. One side presents truths, and one side presents specious arguments and falsehoods.
Always a pleasure reading your posts. Finally, it is Sir and not Ma'am.
Regards
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)I agree regarding Ms. Maddow. She is a treasure.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
not fooled
(5,803 posts)just as corporate media in general has soft-pedaled his malfeasance and criminality (although the COVID-19 debacle is waking many of them up), so it has downplayed the revulsion and resistance he has engendered.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Joinfortmill
(14,481 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)As the campaign progresses, I do not want to hear pundits blathering about being against the cheap thug isn't enough, that something positive must be offered...
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Pepsidog
(6,254 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)It takes high emotion to face real risk of illness, or even death. Our side had it, theirs did not....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
demtenjeep
(31,997 posts)with the heat of 10000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 suns
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)This election is not a contest of ideas, or of policies, or any such things.
It is a census to determine by how great a margin decent folks outnumber the maggats soaking themselves in One America News....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
kentuck
(111,110 posts)The pundits act as if they are exempt from the consequences of the rest of us.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)It is true enough many are paid sufficiently they are quite insulated from most conceivable outcomes of the political strife they monitor.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)The deep, seething hatred for Trump is the most profound fact of contemporary American politics.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)It certainly seems obvious enough to me. The results of the 2018 elections suggest how deep-seated the feeling is...,
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
lamp_shade
(14,846 posts)Dworkin
(164 posts)Folks,
I do not see Trump as 'manly' at all. He is some kind of male bitch, and I say this with an apology to all bitches.
He has a pettiness and small minded vindictiveness which seems to transcend human classification.
D.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)"Defeat of a hated enemy is a thing to be for."
qallunat
(16 posts)Your first line reflects one of the most serious problems I see in the way in which the media shapes political attitudes in North America:
"...because their attitude towards politics is fundamentally frivolous." The horse race model for political commentary, ignoring substantive analyses of policy, is a pernicious feature of political journalism in both your country and mine (Canada). It absolves the punditocracy from their responsibility to inform the puiblic of what's at stake during elections and reinforces the subtext that they are of no more consequence than beauty pageants. It fetishizes "electability" at the expense of providing the tools that voters need to see the arcs of policy choices that illuminate the directions in which the ruling class are attempting to steer our respective countries. There is no way to vote in line with one's values and vision of the society in which we want to live, if there is no context to the broader goals of our potential democratic representatives.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)In a parliamentary system, where coalitions can be formed after an election, it is easier for a party to take root that allows voting in the style you prefer. I do not have sufficient knowledge of Canadian politics to comment on how well that works for committed leftists.
Here, with a first past the post system, coalitions must be formed prior to an election. Smaller factions do risk being swamped, but calving off to form a new party only splits the opposition to that coalition which hangs together, and ensures it will prevail.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
qallunat
(16 posts)In our system, in theory, every parliamentary vote on a bill can turn into a confidence vote, which could result in the immediate dissolution of the government. This necessitates that coalitions be formed by minority governments, but essentially allows majority governments a rubber stamp for any legislation they propose, assuming their majority is sufficient to buffer against member absences. In analogy to your system, ours behaves as though there were no presidential elections, but rather, as though Congressional elections were held for the whole House every four years, and the leader of the majority party automatically became President. By the rules of our system, Nancy Pelosi would be President of the United States . I am not going to get into whether it's a feature or a bug, but this means that our MPs (congresspeople by anaolgy) are most often elected as avatars of the Party Leader. This make sense because generally MPs are expected to fall in line with their party when voting (the confidence vote rule makes it clear why). Interestingly, it's our Conservative Party that has historically been less authoritarian about "whipping" votes.
About coalitions: in practice, we have 3 parties that vie for control of the parliament, the Liberals (centrist corporatists, socially leftish), The Conservatives (generally center-right, but whose tent houses the more socially/fiscally extreme rightwing voters) and the NDP (nominally to the left of the Liberals, but AOC, for example, would be more to the left than the rank and file in this party, but not radically so). I exclude the Greens because they have never elected more than a couple of MPs and the Bloc Quebecois because they are a regional party whose ideology is difficult to situate between the Big Three for a very specific set of historical and cultural reasons to do with the role of Quebec in Confederation. Only the Liberals and Conservatives have held power federally. Where the NDP have held power provincially, they move to the centre and become indistinguishable from Liberals in governing.
I have seen it said on this forum, that the Democratic Party would rather see Trump re-elected than have Bernie as a Democratic President. I am not going to comment on that, but looking at Canadian politics through an ideological lens, it is true that, despite their left-leaning rhetoric, the Liberals always enact policies that cleave closer to Conservative rhetoric, and will always form coalitions with Conservatives (mostly informal, as Liberals tend to be tribally hostile to Conservatives and contemptuous of the NDP, broadly speaking) as opposed to the NDP. This is due to lobbyists, quid pro quo deals and somewhat less importantly, donors (we have no Citizens' United ruling, thank God!).
For leftists in Canada, then, we are stuck with the NDP, who tend to compromise their progressive tone whenever they feel it might reduce their electoral chances, and in any case, govern from the centre when in provincial power, and the Liberals, who campaign from the left and govern from the centre-right. The saving grace of our system, in general, is that our Conservatives are not crazy. Fundamentalist religion, while accommodated by the Cons, does not in general drive policy and although the oil and gas lobbyists are powerful, every party at least pays lip service to fighting climate change. Bay Street (our Wall Street) drives a lot of Liberal policy (e.g. NAFTA, USMCA or CAMUS, as we call it here).
All this to say, the general social, economic and environmental currents that colour your politics are present here and because we are in America's pocket economically and in many ways culturally, we watch your politics closely.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)It is most informative, and I appreciate the effort you took. It was quite unexpected, and so doubly welcome.
Those you may have seen saying the Democratic Party would rather see the cheap thug re-elected than 'Bernie' nominated are exactly the same people who would be content to see the cheap thug re-elected if the Party did not nominate 'Bernie'. It is an illustration of the commonplace observation that it is hard to accuse someone else of something without revealing a good deal about oneself. The most vociferous opponents of Sanders would vote for him over the cheap thug, though without much expectation Sanders would prevail. Fortunately that choice has been avoided. Mr. Biden was not my choice, among the several candidates who stood forward to contest the nomination, but he is the nominee, and I support him unreservedly.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Response to The Magistrate (Reply #29)
geralmar This message was self-deleted by its author.
MountainMama
(237 posts)In 2016, I said I never voted so emphatically in my life.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)It may be observed that the dark arts of the christo-fascist right largely consist in keeping their followers stirred to a continual rage of hatred. That this is mostly at things which are contrived, trumped up, even nonesensical, does not matter: it produces the greatest turn-out possible among the wretches whose minds they have rotted.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
qallunat
(16 posts)I think I understand why some groups of people support Trump.
I don't frequent their web sites.
What I will never understand is why a Bernie supporter would vote for any Republican, let alone for Trump or even abstain, for that matter. I suppose the tribalism that motivates a good chunk of Trump's base, is found everywhere.
Anyway, thanks for the discussion, The Magistrate. See you in another thread! Be well and stay safe.
mwb970
(11,367 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)Someone once called white evangelicals a minority just large enough to believe itself the majority. The greatest proportion of these people live in none too densely populated places, and do not see many people unlike themselves. They honestly have little conception of the big world outside. They also grossly underrate the capacity of their opponents for anger and hatred and even violence, imagining themselves to be, if not the intellectual masters of their opponents, surely their physical masters. Their final resort is the belief they, and they alone, are 'really' Americans, and so since their opponents are not really Americans at all, they are surely predominant in America, however outnumbered they may be by interlopers who fill the cities and the big towns, and are far from all white Christians....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
GusBob
(7,286 posts)Percentage of Democratic voters whose primary motivation was anger towards the Trump admin. I think it was high, like over 75%
Anger I reckon is a nicer word for hate. But still an extremely strong emotion. Some may call it extremist. Hatred has certainly been shown to be a propensity amongst right wingers. To the point of violence even.
Liberals, I reckon eschew the violence natuarally
But the anger it is a very strong motivating factor nonetheless. People will crawl naked thru shards of glass to rid us of its source
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)I do not flinch from hatred. Properly directed, properly kindled, it is a useful and honorable emotion. Like fire, a poor master but a good servant....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Wounded Bear
(58,743 posts)The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)I own it was written in some heat.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is a thing to be for."
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Trump could not have happened without the massive, top to bottom, corruption of the Republican Party that he is merely a symptom of.
The intense focus on Trump makes it clear: He's the designated fall guy for a far bigger, more deeply embedded, and more dangerous problem.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)That he could garner so many votes as he did, even though that fell short of a majority, that is the real problem afflicting our country.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)who've been rewarding their corruption and betrayals of them and their nation. Huge problem.
love_katz
(2,584 posts)Your posts are always well thought out and thought provoking. As for hating the malignant shit funnel and all who aid and abet him, I have no problem with that and reached beyond Earth velocity long ago! Vote Blue, no matter who. Flush the Turd on November 3rd, and vote every Repuke out of office.
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)I appreciate your kind words, and second the sentiment you express.
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
Tommymac
(7,263 posts)I was a longtime political activist - grassroots and online up until 2016.
Then the burnout hit me. I suffer from clinical depression and anxiety...and frankly my health could not take it anymore.
I sat on the sidelines for the last 4 years. Sad and sick at heart, but basically silent.
Yet in the last month the Irish in me has come awake. My anger has been building deep inside.
I don't care who the loyal opposition runs against this evil narcissistic sociopath who has soiled OUR White House and OUR Constitution with the filthy rotten stinking spew that comes out of his, AND HIS SUPPORTERS, (many of whom are family members or long time 'friends) lying treacherous gangrenous mouths...
I have the Democratic nominee's back. 110%.
So Fuck off Republicans, conservatives, twisted right wing Christian terrorists, family who drank the koolaid and lifelong friends who deal in the Limbaugistic arts ...I AM COMING FOR YOU THIS FALL AND I WILL PULL NO PUNCHES.
Tommy is back in the saddle again, perhaps for the last time.
Bring It ON, Conservative asshats.
Cheers
The Magistrate
(95,257 posts)In fact I share it, and am only recently returned here myself.
I have just been waiting to vote against this demon one more time for almost four years....
"Defeat of a hated enemy is something to be for."
PatrickforO
(14,595 posts)oligarchs.
There it is. I didn't want to say it. But yeah. I do. Hate. Trump.
I didn't hate W, though I thought him a miserable president and felt he should have been charged with war crimes.
But Trump? Hate.
That just sucks. I hate to hate.
We've got to get this miserable asshole OUT of office. He's literally killing our republic and our people.
yortsed snacilbuper
(7,939 posts)"Semper Paratus"
From an old Coastie,
Al