Based on the prediction/betting markets, Biden is favored to win the following states...

[Drunken Irishman]

Michigan
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Arizona
New Hampshire
Colorado
Nevada
Virginia

Biden winning all those states would put him at 288 - or 18 electoral votes above 270.

That's without:

Florida
Iowa
Texas
Ohio

Four states that Biden may have a chance in.

[brewens]

1. Go Joe! He should play hardball on the debate format. Trump will make ridiculous demands and

claim Biden is refusing to debate if he doesn't give in. People won't fall for that if Trump tries to rig it.

[ProfessorGAC]

2. Betting Markets?

Not sure that's completely valid.
They set their wins based upon info, but they add how to draw $ from both sides to maximize take, minimize risk and pull the vig.
They're not straight up predictions.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Sure but it gives you an idea of who the bettors think will win.

But it's too far out, anyway.

The same bettors had Hillary winning Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania the morning of the election.

I guess the only difference now is that the bettors may be more aware of that potential with those states...

[ProfessorGAC]

11. I Hope They're Right

But, like you said, way too soon!!!

[Chainfire]

12. The Vegas odds were off for the last presidential elecction

up until the polls closed. I was following them and feeling very confident of HRC winning. Oh well.....

[Drunken Irishman]

13. Yes. Odds aren't a guarantee.

But they're typically more right than wrong.

[msongs]

3. those plus the firm blue states should put him way over 288 nt

[Hokie]

4. Last poll I saw had Biden +6 in Florida

DeSantis is really helping Biden there by screwing up the COVID-19 response stupendously.

[safeinOhio]

6. Betting odds for Buster Douglas beating

Mike Tyson. 42 to 1



Just saying.

[Drunken Irishman]

8. Yes - odds can be wrong.

So what?

They're way more right than they are wrong, though. There's definitely something to betting odds because they record the mood of those who are betting. I'd still much rather be 42-1 favorite than not. Wouldn't you?

[safeinOhio]

9. It's not about the odds.

It’s about getting out the vote.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. This post is about the odds, tho.

[SiliconValley_Dem]

7. What does NC look like compared to AZ? I swapped them in my map

I said Trump would take AZ and Iowa but Biden would take Ohio and Florida. I showed Biden winning back WI, MI, and PA along with the more reliably blue states.

I still don’t see the big prize Texas going blue.

[Progressive Jones]

14. Trump isn't done screwing things up yet. Texas could go Blue if things get worse. nt

[SiliconValley_Dem]

15. True. I hesitate to swing for the fences and mostly protect home turf

Much rather have a solid electoral win than to try for an embarrassing blowout. If it happens—great. But money and Biden time needs to focus on swing states

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. You forgot Wisconsin

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5542/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2020-presidential-election

[Indykatie]

17. It's Great Biden Has A Path That Doesn't Include TX, OH, IA and FL.

Of those 4 I think only FL is winnable in 2020 and that's if we don't have another catastrophe in collecting and counting ballots. Every 4 years we get excited about TX only to suffer another let down.