Number of New U.S. Infections Per Day

[kentuck]

[Squinch]

1. That's about to go up. Because of dumbasses.

[still_one]

2. If that happens there will be at least a two delay before it shows up because of the

incubation period

That is why it is so important to keep the shelter in place going until the current numbers are negligible, before considering opening some things up

[SheltieLover]

4. Absolutely!

Fkn repukes are going to kill even more people, en masse! 🤬

TN Gov Lee must be putting the pressure on mayors. Memphis is looking at how to open hair & nail salons! WTF cares about getting those services now?

Would you go for a haircut or manicure so someone who works 1:1 with people all day could breathe over your head or in your face?

[kentuck]

7. And if the number goes up, they are not helping Trump.

They are hurting him.

[uponit7771]

3. Hmmm, looks like midweek there's a drop then a pick up. If the positive rate stays 20% per area

... that means we're under testing for sure

[SheltieLover]

5. TY, Kentuck, for posting this graph

These sorts of visuals have conspicuously absent from most e-print media!

[Doodley]

6. Seems like the perfect time to reopen America (if you are a moron).

[dawg]

8. People think this curve is about to start sloping downwards and ...

maybe it will. We're about two weeks past where it crested, so if it's going to start dropping it should do so soon.

The alternative is that we've only managed to reduce the effective R0 to around 1.0, so the infection will continue to spread at these levels until it has burned all the way through to herd immunity. (Which would be such a horrific shit show, that most people aren't even allowing themselves to think that it might be possible.)

[Igel]

11. It flattened because the number of tests given flattened.

If the number of tests performed drops, it will drop.

If the number of tests performed increases, it will increase.

[dawg]

13. That's right. All the data is fundamentally flawed - especially coming from red states.

I know personally of a forty-something year-old who had flu-like symptoms and then suddenly died. They were never tested and probably won't be tested posthumously.

No one knows the real number of infections and deaths, but they are certainly being undercounted.

[kentuck]

14. Yep. That's it.

They do not want the tests.

[lostnfound]

9. So a rate of about a million per month, which is really at least two million per month

Because so many don’t have symptoms and so many are never tested.
Seems inevitable that this will not go away for at least 18 months, coming and going in waves.

Since I don’t count on Dumbo doing anything but aggravate the situation, I’m thinking about worst case. A 5:1 ratio would drop below 1:1 when 80% of public has been exposed. Some amount of behavior change on the part of the same parts of our society, plus improved treatments that shorten the infection period, might bring that raw number down to 50%.

[Delphinus]

10. I want

people tested before going back to work. It's insane to think about opening things up until more testing is done. What did Pence say the other day 3.3 millions - 1% of the population?

[NRaleighLiberal]

12. weekends tend to drop a bit, then ramp up as the week proceeds.