Democrats' momentum puts Senate majority in play

[babylonsister]

Democrats’ momentum puts Senate majority in play

Republicans are still favorites to keep the chamber, but Democrats' possible path to flipping the Senate is clearer now.
By JAMES ARKIN
04/20/2020 04:30 AM EDT


Republicans started this election cycle as heavy favorites to keep their Senate majority, with a lineup of elections mostly in red-tinted states and GOP incumbents favored over a slate of relatively unknown and untested challengers.

Now, nearly six months out from the election, Democrats are making them sweat.

Republicans are still more likely than not to maintain control, but Democrats strengthened their hand with a slate of challengers raising massive sums of money in races that represent the heart of the battle for the majority, putting control of the Senate within reach. Republicans remain modest favorites to keep the Senate, with incumbents holding cash advantages in most competitive races and several offensive targets potentially cushioning their majority.

But GOP leaders are bracing for a slog. Steven Law, president of the super PAC Senate Leadership Fund and a top ally to Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, said in a recent interview there is a sense among donors and allies that it could be a “challenging election from top to bottom.”

“The sense is that, no matter what else happens, we've got to hold the Senate majority. And it's not a given,” Law said. “There's just a broad front to defend, and it's going to take a lot of resources and a lot of hard work to do it.”

more...

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/20/democrats-momentum-senate-majority-in-play-194415

[scarletwoman]

1. We absolutely MUST take the Senate this year! And keep the House, of course.

Moscow Mitch has GOT to go, if we're ever going to have nice things.

[Wounded Bear]

2. So much this...nt

[DarthDem]

3. I don't think the GOP is actually favored

I imagine any real analysis would favor the Democrats right now.

[Indykatie]

4. I Think The Best the GOP Can Hope For is a 50/50 Split in the Senate

That would still give control to the Dems if we win the WH. We need a net of 3 seats and with us losing the Alabama seat it's a tall order.

[DarthDem]

5. Dunno about tall order

From the Dems' perspective, CO is done. AZ is close to done if not done. NC is looking pretty good. And I think we have an excellent challenger in ME in Sara Gideon who is perfectly suited to take out Sen. Concerned. There's the net +3 - and I don't buy the conventional wisdom that Doug Jones in AL is automatically a loss, either.

That doesn't even get into the "second tier" of potential pickups - GA-A, GA-B, IA, MT, and even KS. Heck, KY and SC might even be in play.