Biden trails Trump by 5 points in Texas, per new UT/ @TexasTribune poll:

[Gothmog]

Texas will be a battleground state

Link to tweet

[RandySF]

1. It's such a money pit, though.

Will Joe have any close to what he needs to run there?

[Gothmog]

3. If Biden wins Texas, watch out

Link to tweet

[Gothmog]

2. Trump narrowly leads Biden in presidential race in Texas, UT/TT Poll finds

Link to tweet

[rockfordfile]

4. I don't agree with that

five points isn't narrow

[honest.abe]

5. This is a poll of registered users.

The University of Texas/Texas Tribune internet survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted from April 10-19 and has an overall margin of error of +/- 2.83 percentage points. Numbers in charts might not add up to 100% because of rounding.

I suspect if it was likely voters it would be much closer, if not tied. Trump's hardcore base will show up but probably not the moderates.

[ProfessorGAC]

6. Good Catch, Abe!

BTW: I live in the land of Lincoln!

[honest.abe]

7. I am from Illinois originally.

Southern part near Belleville.

[ProfessorGAC]

9. I'm 4+ Hours North

But south of Chicago.

[honest.abe]

10. Yeah, I have done that 4+ hours route to Chicago many times!

My old college girlfriend lived in Barrington.

[ProfessorGAC]

11. That's Way North!

Absent rush hour traffic, it would take me an hour 45 to get there.
I'm 4 hours from StL at 60.
Since I'm not one to drive fast, don't know I've ever taken that drive at 70+ the whole time.
Used to visit StL for 3 customer sites, where I worked on joint development projects for years.
Used to stay in Collinsville because a guy I played in a band with lived there. He was a HS teacher in ESL. I'd visit him, too.

[The Magistrate]

8. It Is Certainly Worth Contesting, Sir

In the overall struggle it would be of benefit to make the enemy play defense in Texas. Without it their entire position falls. Resources would have to be committed to shore it up, which could be employed elsewhere to try and hold recent gains.


"Defeat of a dangerous enemy is something to be for."

[Gothmog]

12. Texas will be a battleground state

Link to tweet

[jimmy the one]

13. florida and arizona more promising

A 5 point deficit is not much to believe in, it still leaves texas trump.
North carolina is trending trump as well, bad news for a battleground.

What is much better news is in arizona and florida:
Arizona: Trump vs. Biden OH Predictive Insights Biden 52, Trump 43 Biden +9

Florida: Trump vs. Biden St. Pete Polls Biden 48, Trump 48 Tie
Florida: Trump vs. Biden UNF Biden 46, Trump 40 Biden +6
Florida: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 46, Trump 43 Biden +3
Florida: Trump vs. Biden Quinnipiac Biden 46, Trump 42 Biden +4
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/#

Polls from march 17 to april 24.

[SoonerPride]

14. Texas will go republican one or two more cycles

But it is trending purple and then blue.

It is demographically slipping away from republicans and they know it.

[Gothmog]

15. Texas is on the list of battleground states

Link to tweet

[Gothmog]

16. This makes me smile

Link to tweet