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brooklynite

(94,829 posts)
Thu Apr 30, 2020, 11:53 AM Apr 2020

I've completed my candidate selection model for 2020...

It tracks 108 competitive House Races, as well as all Senate, Governor and Statehouse Races, and State Legislative Chamber margins, using data on State and district competitiveness, up- and down-ticket synergies, professional race ratings, key external endorsements and fundraising ability. Based on current data, I'm recommending support for the following:

House Republican Seats
Dan Feehan (MN-1)
Hiral Tipirneni (AZ-6)
Christina Hale (IN-5)
Hillary Scholten (MI-3)
Jill Schupp (MO-2)
Jackie Gordon (NY-2)
Wendy Davis (TX-21)
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (IL-13)
Eugene DePasquale (PA-10)
Sri Kulkarni (TX-22)
Gina Ortiz Jones (TX-23)


I'm also waiting for nominees to be selected in NY-24, PA-1, GA-7 and TX-24.

House Democratic Seats
Lucy McBath (GA-6)
Abby Finkenauer (IA-1)
Rita Hart (IA-2)
Cindy Axne (IA-3)
Lauren Underwood (IL-14)
Jared Golden (ME-2)
Elissa Slotkin (MI-8)
Andy Kim (NJ-3)
Xochitl Torres Small (NM-2)
Max Rose (NY-11)
Antonia Delgado (NY-19)
Anthony Brindisi (NY-22)
Kendra Horn (OK-5)
Joe Cunningham (SC-1)
Ben McAdams (UT-4)
Elaine Luria (VA-2)
Abigail Spanberger (VA-7)
T.J. Cox (CA-21)
Christy Smith (CA-25)
Gil Cisneros (CA-29)
Harley Rouda (CA-48)
Haley Stevens (MI-11)
Chris Pappas (NH-1)
Tom Malinowski (NJ-7)
Susie Lee (NV-3)
Matt Cartwright (PA-8)
Lizzie Fletcher (TX-7)
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

Senate Republican Seats
Theresa Greenfield (IA)
Cal Cunningham (NC)
Sara Gideon (ME)
John Hickenlooper (CO)
nb-I am NOT currently supporting Mark Kelly (AZ) because he has a massive war chest ($29 M) at this point.

Senate Democratic Seats
Doug Jones (AL)
Gary Peters (MI)

Republican Governorships
I'm awaiting Primary results in New Hampshire and Vermont.

Democratic Governorships
Whitney Williams (MT)
Roy Cooper (NC)

Republican Attorney's general
Jonathan Weinzapfel (IN)
Raph Greybill (MT)

Democratic Attorney's General
Josh Stein (NC)

Republican Secretaries of State
Gael Tarleton (WA)
Bryce Bennett (MT)

Democratic Secretaries of State
Alaine Marshall (NC)

Republican State Treasurers
Ronnie Chatterji (NC)
Duane Davidson (WA)

Democratic State Treasurers
John Perdue (WV)
Joe Torsella (PA)

State Legislative Chambers
North Caolina Senate
Minnesota Senate
New Hampshire Senate
Arizona House
North Carolina House
Pennsylvania House
Michigan House
Alaska House
Iowa House

DM me if you want to see the details

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I've completed my candidate selection model for 2020... (Original Post) brooklynite Apr 2020 OP
Sweet news: Mike 03 Apr 2020 #1
I would take MI-03 off the table. RandySF Apr 2020 #2
Understood, but I need to wait for new ratings to come in. brooklynite Apr 2020 #4
Solid blm Apr 2020 #3

Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
1. Sweet news:
Thu Apr 30, 2020, 12:05 PM
Apr 2020
I am NOT currently supporting Mark Kelly (AZ) because he has a massive war chest ($29 M) at this point.




If he runs low, Arizonans will get right on it.

RandySF

(59,507 posts)
2. I would take MI-03 off the table.
Thu Apr 30, 2020, 12:18 PM
Apr 2020

If Amash runs for POTUS, there's no one taking votes from the Republican's right flank.

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