Biden's Lead Over Trump Shrinks

[applegrove]

Biden’s Lead Over Trump Shrinks

May 5, 2020 at 10:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 117 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2020/05/05/bidens-lead-over-trump-shrinks/

"SNIP.....

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by just two points nationally, 43% to 41%.

Biden led by 6 percentage points in a similar poll last week and by 8 points in a poll that ran April 15 to 21.

......SNIP"

[Funtatlaguy]

1. Hard to understand.

[applegrove]

4. I know. But i'm sure facebook played a role. Biden needs to hire a kick ass data team and

Last edited Wed May 6, 2020, 03:48 AM - Edit history (1)

not get a big head thinking like Hillary did that she could play it safe and win. Remember when she picked Tim Kaine over say Elizabeth Warren because he didn't overwhelm her? Biden needs to be scrappy and pugnacious in every area of his campaign and he has not been. He should have had the absolute best data team in place last month but this week axelrod had to push him about that.

[uponit7771]

12. +1, go on FB offense often and to this day the Kaine pick befuddles me.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

14. Yes! They've got Facebook strategy down to a tee! Saw it

Work perfectly against Beto in TX. They don't even have to campaign..just ran ugly ads and the low-infos spread like wildfire.

Said this before...hire teams of FB fast responders. Buy the same user audiences they do. The second the team sees their ad, create an anti-ad and blast it out. It's better than nothing.

[Bleacher Creature]

2. The headline should be about the incumbent polling at 41%.

That's a huge red flag for any incumbent.

[qazplm135]

3. Polls this far out are rather meaningless

As are weekly changes.

[Yavin4]

5. RCP Averages a 5.3% lead for Biden

I like averages more than a single poll:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Also, Biden has lead Trump in every national poll since March 28, 2017 except for 4 polls.

[applegrove]

6. Better.

[diva77]

7. I hope Biden will include the talking point about ACA for people with pre-existing conditions

Haven't heard that mentioned for a long time.

[Grasswire2]

8. That's not what I see.

I see him underwater in nine most recent polls on real clear politics.

[link:https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html|

[applegrove]

9. Thanks. That feels better. I knew it was only one poll. I keep wanting Biden to

take a bite out of Trump and love it when he does.

[Eid Ma Clack Shaw]

10. In that poll, Trump is seen as better on the economy and coronavirus response

There is honestly no hope if Trump wins in November due to that sort of thinking. The USA will become a one-party nation at Presidential level because Trumpism will be so entrenched, the system revamped to ensure it can’t lose, so I would honestly start making plans for President Don Jr. and First Lady Kimberley Guilfoyle in 2024.

[uponit7771]

11. Swing state polls mean more than national polls, what are swing state polls saying?

...

[ibegurpard]

13. Statistical noise

[Laura PourMeADrink]

15. One good stat here is that 42% approve of Trump's job. Also interesting is that 41+43 only

Add up to 84%. 16% undecided?