Biden holds sizable lead over Trump in Arizona: Poll

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Joe Biden is leading President Trump in Arizona 50% to 43%, according to a new survey from a Republican pollster.

The poll from OH Predictive Insights, released Tuesday, was conducted on the heels of Trump's visit to Phoenix in early May to tour a Honeywell plant that is manufacturing protective masks as part of a government effort to mitigate the spread of the coronavirus. The survey is a fresh indication that Arizona, which has voted Republican for president in every election since 1996, is in play for Biden, the former vice president and presumptive Democratic nominee.

“President Trump is going to have to do a lot more than parachute into Arizona to boost his sagging numbers,” pollster Mike Noble said in a statement. “With six months to go until Election Day, Trump is going to have to invest heavily in Arizona to pull out a victory in The Grand Canyon State.”

Continuing a trend from 2016 and the 2018 midterm elections, when college-educated voters migrated firmly into the Democratic camp, Biden is leading among this bloc 53% to 42%, while Trump holds the edge with voters without a college education 50% to 44%. Perhaps more concerning for the president is the hole he is in with voters who hold an unfavorable opinion of both him and Biden, a Delaware senator for 36 years before two terms as President Barack Obama's vice president.

Among those voters concerned about both candidates, Biden leads Trump 63% to 31%. Four years ago, Trump did better among voters who held negative views of both him and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Two years ago, Trump's weakness in Arizona, particularly in the suburbs, helped Sen. Kyrsten Sinema become the first Democrat in a generation to win a Senate race there.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/biden-holds-sizable-lead-over-trump-in-arizona-poll/ar-BB14j320?li=BBnb7Kz

[still_one]

1. November is still a long way off, and nothing can be taken for granted

[Eid Ma Clack Shaw]

2. ESPECIALLY with Trump likely to cause a second wave

Folks, let’s be honest - Trump voters are far more likely to disbelieve the threat posed by this pandemic and therefore have a built-in turnout advantage at the present time.

While I suspect a majority of people want him gone, it might not take many people who consider the threat to the health of themselves and their family a risk too great to see him snatch victory in states that are finely balanced.

[Vogon_Glory]

3. Can I hope that the Grand Canyon State's Saints' revulsion

Has overcome their traditional vote-Republican reflex?

[dawg day]

4. I think Astronaut Mark is going to have some coattails for Biden...

He and Gabby are going to pull some voters in.

[Wounded Bear]

5. 50% is a pretty significant number when polling...

these days, you don't always see that one pop up.

Still early, though. Need to keep working.

GOTV!

[beachbumbob]

6. always bad to be a republican incumbent and have your opponent 50% or more and

you are stuck in low 40's.

only wholesale voter suppression will help GOP in Arizona, and georgia

[RDANGELO]

7. It's getting pretty obvious.

If the election were held today, Biden would win the electoral college easily.