Biden has 46% to 43% lead in Wisc. poll.

[riversedge]

State polls suggest Biden has a clear national lead
CNN Digital Expansion 2018 Harry Enten

Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN

The next 6 plus months will be so so so so long --


https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/17/politics/state-polls-2020-analysis/index.html

1017 GMT (1817 HKT) May 18, 2020



(CNN)Poll of the week: A new Marquette Law School poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a 46% to 43% lead over President Donald Trump in Wisconsin.



The poll matches the last poll from Marquette, which also had Biden up by 3 points in Wisconsin.


What's the point: One of the big questions when we look at national polls is whether or not they're an accurate representation of what is going on at the state level. One of the easiest ways to check is to compare state poll results to the past presidential vote in a given state. I did so for all telephone polls that called cell phones since the beginning of April.

When we average out these state polls, they suggest that Biden's running about 6 points ahead of Hillary Clinton's final margin.
In other words, the state level polls suggest that Biden has a national lead of around 8 points. .....



.....

[sandensea]

1. And without Slow-Walker as governor, the chances of a Trump "upset" look very slim.

Great news! Thanks for sharing this.

[Wellstone ruled]

2. Sounding fantastic.

The Comey letter was the killer . While doing Phone Banking into Wis in the last few days of that campaign,the letter cost us the lead,so much feedback from that one thing really killed us. The Hate Radio Network pushed the letter full speed ahead and that was the Change Agent.

[edhopper]

7. Absolutely

And he was bullied into it by McConnell, even though it violated FBI policy.

[Wellstone ruled]

12. The last Monday was pure ugly

on the phones. Want to see Moscow Mitch pay the price next year.

[mucifer]

3. So almost within the margin of error.

[Celerity]

4. great news!!

[Greybnk48]

5. Also, the Marquette poll leans right. n/t

[dem4decades]

6. The fact that it's that close is disheartening.

[edhopper]

8. Agreed

He needs a 5% lead at the least.

[TheNewNumberTwo]

9. #firetheliar2020

ideally, if Dump keeps self-sabotaging, that will improve, but we certainly can't count our chickens yet by any means, remember who has all the Dark Money (Moscow Mitch) and who Putin favors....

I still completely believe that the Howard Dean '50 state strategy' is just as relevant now as it was back then....it helped Obama, it is important...!

[hurple]

10. Unfortunately

That 11% spread is the difference that could throw that state either way.

[John Fante]

13. Undecideds tend to break for the challenger by a 2-1 IIRC.

[helpisontheway]

11. Only 3% difference? Smh At least when the people voted in the primary we came out on top..The

Republicans lost whatever caused them to push so hard to keep the primary date.

[Tarheel_Dem]

14. K&R

[FloridaBlues]

15. How many states are left to hold primaries?

Would there be enough delegates to get him over the threshold by convention?
I lost track with which states have yet to vote besides New York in June.

[LakeArenal]

16. Evers won. The Judge won. This is good news.

[Blasphemer]

17. WI still worries me but I'm hopeful about AZ because of how well Kelly is doing... nt