General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump is at only 25% approval among independents, according to yesterday Reuters/Ipsos poll.
40% approval overall among the registered voters polled, but that's almost entirely from his Republican support.
With independent registered voters, it's 25% approval, 67% disapproval.
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-07/2020_reuters_tracking_-_core_political_presidential_approval_tracker_07_29_2020_0.pdf
https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/bdwvkezzovm/Topline%20Reuters-Ipsos%20Core%20Political%207.28.pdf
Noticed this thanks to a tweet from Matt Rogers:
Link to tweet
underpants
(182,878 posts)Theyll come back.
SpaceNeedle
(191 posts)A landslide for Biden is in the making.
cheezmaka
(737 posts)And the GOP knows it.... (welcome to DU!)
The Mouth
(3,164 posts)underestimating the intelligence of the American people.
The last thing we need is complacency, we need to be on edge, HUNGRY, and on fullest alert until the Electoral College finalizes their vote. There's lots of time to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
SpaceNeedle
(191 posts)Those who always said elections don't matter have been awakened. No better teacher than Trump to show that elections matter.
rkleinberger
(155 posts)We need a Senate majority otherwise everything is mute.
ecstatic
(32,731 posts)how the VP pick is received by the masses before I break out the champagne bottles. lol
Dopers_Greed
(2,640 posts)uponit7771
(90,364 posts)roamer65
(36,747 posts)However, things are not normal anymore.
I am predicting we will go 80-85 pct Dem this election.
My gut feeling for Michigan is a 15-20 point swing to Dem.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Trump approval is rising this week
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)My goal is to keep the 538 number at 42% or lower on election day. That is a realistic goal. The ones asserting 30 or 35% don't know what they are talking about.
Republicans are never going to bail on Trump and Hispanics always have unusual loyalty to the incumbent. Those two factors alone prevent a drop. The numbers were saw a week or two ago were likely the bottom.
In particular, the occasional thread here with an anecdote of a Republican who voted Trump 2016 and now is switching to Biden are 100% meaningless. There are threads like that every cycle. Then the identical percentages show up in the exit poll.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)In the last week, for god know what reason, he's rising again. 41.6 now.
42%s good
Blasphemer
(3,261 posts)He's admitted COVID is a real problem, started encouraging mask use and supports another stimulus. He's obviously listening to someone with some common sense (Karl Rove perhaps).
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)BannonsLiver
(16,448 posts)Quixote1818
(28,968 posts)probably worse.
uponit7771
(90,364 posts)ProfessorGAC
(65,168 posts)Recent polls show 25% R, 31% D, 40% I
If this poll were spot on, Biden would be at 31+(40*2/3) or 57.67%
PINO would be at 25+(40/3) or 38.33%.
Have any polls showed Biden with a 20 point lead?
Grins
(7,228 posts)I can understand Republicans. They will believe absolutely anything the GOP shits down their throats, all while applauding and squealing for seconds.
But I have really had it with so-called "independents". Have they been asleep for four years?
getagrip_already
(14,837 posts)They just don't want a party label. Especially republican these days. So a lot of republicans are just calling themselves indies to not get painted with the shity brush of truth.
They will still vote r in secret.
In reality, there are very few voters who will swing from candidate to candidate if they like their positions without caring what party they are in. More and more voters are party line voters regardless of their label..
Grins
(7,228 posts)mountain grammy
(26,648 posts)FakeNoose
(32,748 posts)I just didn't want to join the Democratic Party. It all changed in 2008 when I wanted to vote for Hillary for President, so I had to join the party and vote in the PA primary. I never regretted it and never looked back, but it took something really significant to get me off my butt and join. I have no doubts there are conservatives doing the same thing.
ProfessorGAC
(65,168 posts)I didn't join until 2000 when I met Weller & Hastert.
I decided I needed to help get those 2 buffoons out of office.
Tommymac
(7,263 posts)THAT number makes me sick to my stomach.
Traitors to the Cause, every one.
radius777
(3,635 posts)more cultural conservative (especially in certain regions) and there's still vestiges of that, where such folks didn't change their registration but pretty much always vote Repub.
Lucky Luciano
(11,258 posts)For example, the crazy lady in Kentucky that refused to let gays get married after the SCOTUS decision. She was a Democrat, but switched after the controversy.
budkin
(6,714 posts)No way to turn that around.
Demovictory9
(32,475 posts)JI7
(89,264 posts)in how they regularly vote for one party. This is more true for republicans though.
so his approval among true independents (those who could vote for either party) is even lower.
Nululu
(842 posts)This suggests a big win.
lame54
(35,321 posts)oldsoftie
(12,599 posts)Or most voters who dont vote party lines. There are a lot of those out there. We ignore them at our own peril.
tanyev
(42,610 posts)cheezmaka
(737 posts)The GOP along with Trump don't want to extend the $600 per week unemployment benefit. And many more will file unemployment in the weeks to follow. Anyone with good sense will not approve of a President who has allowed this pandemic to "dessimate" their livelyhood....
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)If they're for Trump, then they're NOT "independent".
oldsoftie
(12,599 posts)captain queeg
(10,242 posts)I wonder if those dim bulbs realize Hitler was a National Socialist? Thats what the Nazi party was.
budkin
(6,714 posts)And they will now get him unelected.