General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI don't see how they can determine how effective a vaccine is in such a short period of time,
Wouldn't the participants exposure to the virus take time, unless they are intentionally exposed to the virus?
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)KPN
(15,645 posts)they cant!
rampartc
(5,407 posts)but it will be out by election day.
still_one
(92,190 posts)I think it would be a disaster if a vaccine was released that was not very effective. It would give people a false sense of security, put millions at risk because many would not be using masking and social distancing, assuming the vaccine protects them more than it does
Maeve
(42,282 posts)Neither 'effective' nor 'safe' can be determined in the short-term
MakeAmericaLoveAgain
(20 posts)Vaccine = Votes even though Republicans refuse to wear masks or take vaccines.
Blues Heron
(5,932 posts)the polio nightmare was 70 years ago, the swine flu thing was almost 50 years ago, surely with our biotech machines we've made progress and the stuff won't be likely to make your arm fall off or give you Covid 19.
still_one
(92,190 posts)about it giving one SARS CO V2
What is the concern is how effective it is, and releasing a vaccine which isn't particularly effective, would be a disaster, and determining how protective it is, I don't think you can reliably determine how effective it is in a short period of time, unless of course they intentionally expose the participants to the virus
Blues Heron
(5,932 posts)they're not just flying blind here the way they were back in the day. There has been biotech progress on that front.
still_one
(92,190 posts)phase 3 that will help determine its safety and how effective it really is through double blind studies. It has significantly more participants than a phase 1 or phase 2, but it takes time to determine that effectiveness unless they intentionally expose the volunteers to the virus
If phase three shows safety and efficacy, it will then be released.
Phase 4 will determine the actual long term effects, but that is after it has been released
KPN
(15,645 posts)experience with something called Guillaine-Barre Syndrome and family history of pulmonary fibrosis (7 of my Moms 8 siblings died of it).
NRaleighLiberal
(60,014 posts)beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)a COVID vaccine to be released before Nov 3rd. Will have to be an idiot to take it
Blues Heron
(5,932 posts)thank god we have brave volunteers who know and trust our health experts.
Aristus
(66,351 posts)But I don't think anyone knows yet what the effective antibody response period will be for COVID-19.
There is still so much we don't know about the virus...
DetroitLegalBeagle
(1,923 posts)From my limited understanding on this, the effectiveness of the vaccine could be seen from the limited human testing that's going on, particularly with how easily spread COVID appears to be. Human challenge trials could prove it as well, but I don't think they are doing that since its ethically and legally a gray area. The bigger concern, that cannot be sped up, is side effects and long term effects. Side effects may not be seen until widespread use since a limited human trial may not represent the wide range of medical conditions and genetics that the population has. And long term issues with the vaccine is basically impossible since those won't be seen until months to years down the line.
spanone
(135,831 posts)life and death are not considerations
ecstatic
(32,703 posts)trump's CDC and FDA are fully compromised or should I say, "deconstructed."
Yavin4
(35,438 posts)Happened in one of those movies.
Demsrule86
(68,565 posts)traumatized by this that she refused to give my older sister the measles vaccine...no child in my family received it. My sister caught old fashioned measles and the doctor convinced my Mom to give it to everyone. By then it was safe. So the rest of us had a milder case of measles...still very ill though. My sister spent two months in a dark room where they fought to save her eyesight. Everyone was quarantined. There was a sign on our door. And over the years, there have been ' hot spots' for vaccines...could be the manufacturing was subpar. My own daughters both reacted to the Pertussis vaccine and were hospitalized. No doctor has ever been willing to try again. My children received all their vaccines...but the girls did not get the pertussis booster. I did space out the vaccines ...refused to do them all at once. And that seemed to work better.
still_one
(92,190 posts)The oral sabin polio vaccine, which I do not believe is still used here in the U.S., can give someone polio, including someone who cares for the child
The measles vaccine is a live vaccine, but as long as someone is not immuno-compromised, or certain other conditions, it is not only safe, but very effective.
The old pertussis vaccine was not that effective, and for did have side-effects. some very severe. The acellular pertussis vaccine is not only much more effective, but also much safer
For me the general rule is to avoid live vaccines if possible, unless the risk is significant
As I alluded to above, those with certain conditions or immuno-compromised should avoid live vaccines, at least that is the usual recommendations