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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums***BREAKING*** Quinnipiac LV Poll Biden 52 Trump 42
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3674No change at all from 3 weeks ago when it was also 52-42. Great news!
Joe now up in the composite +7.3.
OrlandoDem2
(2,065 posts)We need to figure out how to retake the Blue Wall plus Arizona for insurance.
Thekaspervote
(32,766 posts)Had a link to it..sorry cant find it. I think it was Charlie Cook on Lawrence ODonnell that said it
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Quinnipiac +10
Marquette +10
YouGov +7
Oh yeah, and Rasmussen, +1 LOL.
Yavin4
(35,438 posts)That means Biden leads by 11 in his poll.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,315 posts)which indicates the on the night totals will look Republican, unless postal votes are tallied first or at the same time.
Among voters who say they plan to vote in person on Election Day, 57 percent support Trump while 35 percent support Biden. However, among voters who plan to vote by mail/absentee ballot, 68 percent back Biden while 26 percent support Trump. Among those who plan on voting at an early voting location, 65 percent support Biden, while 34 percent support Trump.
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)They just sometimes take longer. By 10 pm we'll know who won.
Abnredleg
(669 posts)Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)People are thinking it will come down to a 2000 FL like scenario, but the fact is that in most states absentee ballots will be getting counted and added to totals incrementally all day and night just like in person ballots.
The idea Trump will be ahead at 10pm and declare himself the winner when absentee ballots are still coming in is just not very realistic.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,315 posts)And how many people wait until late to mail the ballot (which isn't necessarily just about president - they may want to think about something down-ticket, maybe not even partisan).
It does look like, for most of the vital states, they can start counting them during the day, or even before in some cases: https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-16-when-absentee-mail-ballot-processing-and-counting-can-begin.aspx , and those don't accept ballots received after the day, but postmarked before - https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-11-receipt-and-postmark-deadlines-for-absentee-ballots.aspx .
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