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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsQuinnipiac Poll: Biden -5 Texas, +1 Ohio
In Texas and Ohio, two states where President Trump won easily in 2016, the president holds a slight lead in Texas and its too close to call in Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of likely voters in both states. These are the first surveys from the Quinnipiac University Poll in both Texas and Ohio to use likely voters and results cannot be compared to prior surveys of registered voters.
With six weeks to go until Election Day and most minds made up, Ohio could hinge on a sliver of likely voters who signal they may have a change of heart and the four percent who say they are unsure right now who theyll back. At this point, its a toss-up, said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow.
...snip...
In Ohio, 97 percent of likely voters who selected a candidate in the presidential match up say their minds are made up, with 3 percent saying they might change their minds. In Texas, 94 percent say their minds are made up, with 5 percent saying their minds might change.
In Ohio, 46 percent of likely voters plan on voting in person on Election Day. Thirty-five percent plan on voting by mail/absentee ballot, and 16 percent plan on voting at an early voting location.
In Texas, 47 percent of likely voters plan on voting at an early voting location, 38 percent plan on voting in person, and 13 percent plan on voting by mail/absentee ballots.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/oh/oh09242020_bgfx53.pdf
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,858 posts)There's nowhere near the number of pro-Trump signs in yards like I saw four years ago.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)BannonsLiver
(16,539 posts)redstateblues
(10,565 posts)Bettie
(16,139 posts)make them work for it.
roamer65
(36,747 posts)The midsection including Columbus will decide it.
Buckeye_Democrat
(14,858 posts)The northern cities tend to be more blue, though, and will be most crucial for a Democratic win as usual.
roamer65
(36,747 posts)Buckeye_Democrat
(14,858 posts)Trump won the Dayton area (Montgomery County) by 1% last time. Many redneck immigrants around here, unfortunately. Yet I'll be shocked if Biden doesn't win this time!
I wish the entire state voted like Cleveland!
Response to brooklynite (Original post)
Sogo This message was self-deleted by its author.
Sogo
(5,008 posts)I'll delete my post....
Yavin4
(35,453 posts)Looks like you can hit, but when you swing....stike out.
jorgevlorgan
(8,346 posts)Yavin4
(35,453 posts)jorgevlorgan
(8,346 posts)Will we get it? Maybe if we focus a little harder on the ball.
jorgevlorgan
(8,346 posts)2016, Hillary was behind 11.7 in RCP and ended behind 9 (+2.7 for Clinton)
In 2018, O Rourke was behind 6.8 in RCP and lost by 2.6 (+4.2 for O Rourke)
Right now, Biden is behind 3.6 in RCP in texas. If he gets an average of the overperformance that Clinton and O Rourke received (3.45), he loses by .15%. If he fights hard in that state, and overperforms the polls closer to how O Rourke did, Biden wins. This is possibly, mayyyybe a more likely case of winning than FL, which the Democrat almost regularly underperforms from the polls on election day.
jorgevlorgan
(8,346 posts)FWIW