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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,947 posts)
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 05:56 PM Sep 2020

Joe Biden continues to eat into Donald Trump's base

Donald Trump heads into the debate trailing former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump is the first incumbent to be losing in the polls at this point since George H.W. Bush in 1992.

Trump's obvious goal for the debate is to try and win back some of the White voters without a college degree that he's clearly lost since 2016. In doing so, he might be able to stop Biden's easiest paths to taking back the White House for the Democrats.

Take a look at the live interview national polls taken since the conventions that meet CNN standards for reporting. We're talking about nine polls in total from eight pollsters, so it's a large sample.

Trump is winning by about 21 points among Whites without a college degree in an average of those polls. That may seem like a lot, but remember that Trump led among this group by about 30 points in the final pre-election polls in 2016.

Keep in mind, we're making an apples-to-apples comparison here. Even if the polls are off by a similar margin as they were in 2016, this exercise takes that into account. There's real movement going on here among Whites without a college degree.

This 9-point or so shift is even more impressive, when you keep in mind that there's been a change of less than 4 points overall toward Biden compared to where Hillary Clinton was at the end of 2016.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/joe-biden-continues-to-eat-into-donald-trump-s-base/ar-BB19rMaY?li=BB141NW3&ocid=DELLDHP

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Cirque du So-What

(25,932 posts)
1. A modest suggestion
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 06:02 PM
Sep 2020

Joe’s surrogates should pick up and run with a meme emphasizing rump’s ‘wimpiness.’ There’s no shortage of material, and it’s an unforgivable sin among MAGAts.

Cha

(297,180 posts)
2. Trump is the first incumbent to be losing in the polls at this point since George H.W. Bush in 1992.
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 06:08 PM
Sep 2020

That puts the Murdering Treasonous ASSFACE in the LOSER column.

samsingh

(17,595 posts)
3. the whites without a degree will get WIPED OUT by trump's policies. They should understand that NOW
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 06:45 PM
Sep 2020

just like the repugs don't care about the 200,000+ americans already dead of covid, they will not care when the uneducated white males have no jobs and no money and are on the street.

Yavin4

(35,438 posts)
5. "they will not care when the uneducated white males have no jobs and no money and are on the street"
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 07:06 PM
Sep 2020

Oh, that's an easy fix. Just have the Fox News hosts scapegoat immigrants, African Americans, Women, and Liberals in general.

That's been the playbook since 1980.

Lock him up.

(6,928 posts)
7. That will get them angry (again) but...
Sun Sep 27, 2020, 09:10 AM
Sep 2020
it's seems getting angry in 16 and voting for drumpf did not help them but screwed them even more...

Maybe they "learned" a much-needed "lesson" (for them): Getting angry does not solve any problems. Only makes them worse...
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