New Florida poll (Clearview Research): Biden +7

[brooklynite]

Baseline model:
Biden 47%
Trump 40%

R+2 model:
Biden 46%
Trump 41%

D+2 model:
Biden 48%
Trump 39%

https://www.scribd.com/document/480085559/SW-Poll-Memo-v2-9326

[Laelth]

1. That's remarkable.

I admit to being suspicious, but this is still good news.

Trump CAN NOT WIN without Florida.

-Laelth

[regnaD kciN]

2. Don't set your hopes on Florida...

Even if they don’t wind up skewing more Republican than expected (as usual), with a G.O.P.-controlled legislature and DeInsanetis as governor, they’re the one state most certain to disregard the will of the voters and award their electors to Trump if that will give him re-election.

[Turin_C3PO]

3. Good news

but I’d feel better if his lead was over 50%.

[Awsi Dooger]

4. The Florida experts think it will be very close

Make sure to follow Steve Schale and Carlos Odio on twitter. Both know the state extremely well and both emphasize the same thing, that for every action in Florida there is an equal and opposite reaction. That's why Florida remains tight cycle to cycle regardless of national tilt. They have already looked at early mail numbers and said that although it looks promising, everything points to another tight finish.

Odio specializes in analyzing the Hispanic vote