*** 6 Days Out... post your Electoral College predictions here ***

[Bucky]

Even being pessimistic about Trump's possible gap-closing surge in Florida (and even granting Trump hangs on in Texas, Georgia, and Iowa where Biden has been doing surprisingly well), I'm calling it a 324-214 win for Biden. That's me thinking with my well-deserved Democratic paranoia. The good news is that, except for Indiana, I think Trump will be completely pushed out of the Great Lakes region, which gave him his faux upset last time.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/PRP9r

If I thought with my heart and Biden prevails in Florida, with all its usual shenanigans, it'd be 353-185.

Share your predictions in this thread

[doc03]

1. I go with the Economist 357 that would make me happy nt

[NameAlreadyTaken]

2. Biden 291, Trump 247

[Initech]

3. My realistic predictions right now: 339 - 198

This is entirely depending on Texas and assuming Florida stays red. And Dems pick up Senate seats in: AZ (Kelley), SC (Harrison), GA (Ossoff and Warnock), and TX (Hager).

[Laelth]

10. We have a greater chance of picking up Texas' electoral votes ...

... than we do of Hegar winning. If Hegar wins, Biden has Texas in the bag. I am not expecting either to happen.

-Laelth

[Initech]

37. I'd be truly shocked if either happened!

[Laelth]

38. Same. Pleasantly shocked, but shocked all the same. n/t

-Laelth

[MFM008]

4. 369 us

169 maggot.
I believe we can be that optimistic.

[Laelth]

5. 375-163. n/t

-Laelth

[NorthOf270]

6. If the vote is fair and square

[Laelth]

12. I agree, precisely.

Perhaps I did not initially count the one EV from NE-2, but, otherwise, I think you nailed it. (I edited to add that single electoral vote).

Six days out, mind you. Things can change.

-Laelth

[Bucky]

23. Not to be contrarian, but...

Having looked at those swing states, I wonder if I was too optimistic about Ohio. That state has been devolving into a large Indiana lately.

[YessirAtsaFact]

31. Texas looks more likely than Ohio for this election

nm

[NorthOf270]

36. I think Ohio is not as hot for Trump anymore

Texas has always been a case of I believe it when I see it.

Ohio voted for Sherrod Brown. Texas never seems to go for a Dem statewide.

Again, this is minus shenanigans.

[honest.abe]

50. This is my prediction as well with one exception.

Add Texas!

[NorthOf270]

54. I'll believe it when I see it

I don't think we're there yet.

[W_HAMILTON]

7. Here is mine:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/mRDmR

357 - 181

[Quixote1818]

14. I almost threw GA in there. Otherwise we are the same. nt

[Laelth]

17. We disagree only on Ohio.

Six days out, mind you. Anything can change.



-Laelth

[Buckeye_Democrat]

22. I'll go with that instead.

Hope Biden/Harris win Ohio, but I'm not optimistic... especially with the absentee ballot "accidents" from the Trump-supporting printing company in the major-Democratic counties.

[mnhtnbb]

48. I think Trump takes Florida, but agree Biden takes GA and NC

so I go along with you on the rest.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

8. 365 to 173.

That was the 2008 electoral college result, and I expect this one will be similar.

[Zeus69]

9. 334-204

Good guys.

[NurseJackie]

11. When will we know? How long will it take?

[Bucky]

15. Given the massive early voting ballots, I think it could take a week to get final counts

I think by 11/11/20 we'll have a final EC count. States to worry about include North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Florida, where Republicans will try the hardest to throw out as many absentee, mail-in, and early voting ballots.

I wonder if this could actually hurt them in Florida, where the late breaking votes are pointed in Trump's direction.

[MissB]

19. It really does depend.

I’ll be watching PA, MI and OH for early clues.

[Bucky]

24. This sums up WHAT ELECTION NIGHT WILL LOOK LIKE

https://www.vox.com/21417179/election-2020-vote-count-results-when

[Quixote1818]

13. 342 to 197

Biden wins FL, NC, AZ, IA, misses GA, TX and Ohio by a hair.

[Bucky]

25. Arizona would be nice

[Pisces]

16. 345 Biden to 193

[ananda]

18. Biden 346

And we take back the Senate!

[panader0]

20. A whole lot to not enough. I want Joe to at least get more than the "record" number trump got.

[Roland99]

21. My current base guess - Biden: 297, trump: 163, tossup: 78

Link to tweet

[DIVINEprividence]

26. Biden wins Florida, Texas and Georgia

and a bunch of other places no one expects.

[aaaaaa5a]

27. 306 to 232

I am going with what I think is the worst case scenario for us.

Biden 306
Trump 232


I am of course hoping for a much bigger win.

[roamer65]

28. I think Biden will get 413 EV's.

I think he will take TX, GA, NC and OH.

[Binkie The Clown]

29. Biden and Trump will get a bunch of votes, but Biden will get a lot more than Trump.

You can make book on that!

[beachbumbob]

30. lets go for massive blowout, Biden 400+ EV and 25 million vote advantage

set new record for 1908 for voter participation

[jalan48]

32. Biden 293 Trump 245

Or, 5-4 Trump if decided by the SCOTUS.

[cry baby]

33. 306 Biden 232 trump

I think there’ll be shenanigans in FL.

I think we’ll put the blue wall back up.

[vercetti2021]

34. 413 - 125

https://www.270towin.com/map-images/O6ZWB

It'll be a blowout

[Tribetime]

39. I like the way you think...if it's close to 10% nationwide

It could very well be over 400 for Joe
413-125 I agree 👍

[Demsrule86]

46. I think so too.

[ironflange]

35. 341-197

[Chasing Dreams]

40. 444 to 94 Biden Blowout

We have all the money, moxie, and momentum. Trump and the Republicans have the stock market and economy in free-fall, and Covid is out of control. The polls are just beginning to catch these death throes, but are understating the vast extent of the collapse. All of the current battlegrounds go Biden. Plus Kansas, Missouri, Montana, and South Carolina. Thirty Five states.



Oh, and the Senate? 58-42, Dems. Plus a net gain of 15 congressional seats, and state houses all over the country. Reapportionment of Congress based on 2020 Census next year should put us in a strong position for a decade...

[vercetti2021]

41. I'd die if this happened

Like whoa

[Chasing Dreams]

43. It's an optimistic, stretch scenario

But no one above has gone that far, and someone needed to!

And it somehow feels possible, not just wishful imaginary thinking

[Chili]

42. I'm greedy

[J_William_Ryan]

44. 279 - Biden, 259 - Trump

Biden flips MI, WI, and PA.

There remains a great deal of fear, ignorance, bigotry, racism and hate.

[Bucky]

45. Whoa... That'd be close

Fighting close

[LeftInTX]

52. That's where I am, but worried about WI

I think Biden will flip MI and PA, but skeptical of WI.

If we don't carry WI or AZ we're stuck with Trump

[Zeus69]

47. I think Biden wins (posted such upthread), but....

This is my “nightmare“ map:

Trump only needs an upset in PA to win it all. Because if he can win PA, he can win in FL, AZ, IA, NC. And with a large error percentage in these mail-in ballots, a 5 or 6% Biden lead in PA could evaporate overnight.

[LeftInTX]

53. I'm thinking Biden 269

He takes PA but loses WI instead.
I think WI is more of a challenge.

[LeftInTX]

51. This. If we don't win Wisconsin, Trump wins

All the brown will go to Trump. I do not trust the polls.