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Harry Enten, CNN: How coronavirus is sinking Trump's election hopes
https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/29/politics/coronavirus-trump-analysis/index.html(CNN)I have long argued that coronavirus was the only election issue that really mattered. History tells us that when a non-economic issue is topping the list of the nation's problems in a presidential election year, then the candidate who is trusted most on that issue almost always wins.
Coronavirus is raging nationwide with only five days to go until Election Day. For President Donald Trump to win reelection, he's going to have to somehow do so even as cases are on the upswing in almost all the key battleground states that he won four years ago.
There were 10 states Trump won by less than 10 points in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin. In nine of these states, there was a daily average of at least 15 new Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people over the past week. The lone exception was Arizona, according to The New York Times, where there were 14 new cases per 100,000 people.
Wisconsin, on the other hand, had a high of 72.5 new cases per 100,000 people. This was the highest number among the battleground states and was third in the nation.
The high number of coronavirus cases can't possibly help the President in the closing stretch of the campaign. Trump seems to be doing worse in communities where Covid-19 deaths are higher, according to one study.
-snip-
Coronavirus is raging nationwide with only five days to go until Election Day. For President Donald Trump to win reelection, he's going to have to somehow do so even as cases are on the upswing in almost all the key battleground states that he won four years ago.
There were 10 states Trump won by less than 10 points in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin. In nine of these states, there was a daily average of at least 15 new Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people over the past week. The lone exception was Arizona, according to The New York Times, where there were 14 new cases per 100,000 people.
Wisconsin, on the other hand, had a high of 72.5 new cases per 100,000 people. This was the highest number among the battleground states and was third in the nation.
The high number of coronavirus cases can't possibly help the President in the closing stretch of the campaign. Trump seems to be doing worse in communities where Covid-19 deaths are higher, according to one study.
-snip-