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spooky3

(34,456 posts) Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:35 PM Oct 2020

3

538 now has Biden at 89% chance of winning the electoral college

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo

Yay!

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 now has Biden at 89% chance of winning the electoral college (Original Post) spooky3 Oct 2020 OP

110% and I'll exhale soothsayer Oct 2020 #1

200% and I'll join you :) n/t moonscape Oct 2020 #3

It's been there for the past day... regnaD kciN Oct 2020 #2

Should hit 93% plus before Tuesday Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #4

The momentum is the opposite of 2016, good news for Biden. johnnyrocket Oct 2020 #5

soothsayer

(38,601 posts)

1. 110% and I'll exhale

Reply to spooky3 (Original post)

Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:37 PM

Oct 2020

moonscape

(4,673 posts)

3. 200% and I'll join you :) n/t

Reply to soothsayer (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:43 PM

Oct 2020

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

2. It's been there for the past day...

Reply to spooky3 (Original post)

Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:40 PM

Oct 2020

I believe 90% is the cutoff where it goes from “favored” to “strongly favored.”

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)

4. Should hit 93% plus before Tuesday

Reply to spooky3 (Original post)

Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:45 PM

Oct 2020

The risk is falling out of the model and the polls are clear.

johnnyrocket

(1,773 posts)

5. The momentum is the opposite of 2016, good news for Biden.

Reply to spooky3 (Original post)

Thu Oct 29, 2020, 10:47 PM

Oct 2020

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