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RandySF

(58,884 posts)
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 11:13 PM Oct 2020

Jon Ralston's Nevada Early Voting Blog - 10/29/20 - 2:00 p.m.

SOS did a rare midday update, adding in some rurals.

Still no Clark in-person from Wednesday, and a few thousand mail ballots not in the county, but accounting for that and the Dems statewide lead is down to about 41K now.

In those six larger rurals -- Lyon, Douglas, Carson, Bye, Elko and Churchill -- I'd say about 60 percent of those who are going to vote have voted. I still say Trump wins the rurals by 70,000-plus, maybe as much as 80,000. He won last time by 58,000.

The problem for the president is that Clark County continues to diminish the impact of the rurals by voting almost to its registration. For Trump to have any chance here, the rurals have to get to 14 percent -- they are at just under 13 percent now.



https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-3

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Demsrule86

(68,582 posts)
6. Did you read this part?
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 11:23 PM
Oct 2020

"The problem for the president is that Clark County continues to diminish the impact of the rurals by voting almost to its registration. For Trump to have any chance here, the rurals have to get to 14 percent -- they are at just under 13 percent now."

Thekaspervote

(32,771 posts)
7. Agree!! Dave Wasserman of Cook Political said if you are trying to determine winners by looking
Thu Oct 29, 2020, 11:37 PM
Oct 2020

At early voting...please stop. He did say with the exception of Jon Ralston. Having said that, I’ve followed Jon Ralston for several elections and he’s good, but JMHO he seems out of his element this year. Any why wouldn’t he be, or anyone. Ppl are voting differently this year- mail ins and early voting is a big deal

Historically, NV votes for the Dems..

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