Final Opinium Poll of 2020 - Biden (D): 55% Trump (R): 41%

[sunonmars]

Link to tweet

The poll suggests that Biden’s lead is a result of his ability to attract swing voters (those who consider themselves in the political ‘middle’ and don’t identify as Republicans or Democrats) as well as some of those who didn’t vote in 2016.

Three fifths (60%) of likely voters who voted for a candidate other than Trump or Clinton in 2016 and 56% of likely voters who consider themselves politically ‘neutral’ (neither Republicans nor Democrats) plan to vote for Biden this year.

A smaller percentage (10%) who voted for Trump in 2016 have switched their vote to support Biden this year. However, Trump has proved himself among some 2016 Democratic voters, with 5% of those who voted for Hilary Clinton in 2016 planning to vote for the Republican candidate this time around

[Johnny2X2X]

1. I think this is closer than some other polls

IBD/TIPP had been an outlier in the other direction at +4 or +5, it's moved to +6 and +7 today. The late deciders could be breaking for Joe, that was expected.

ABC/Wapo, Marist, Monmouth, and NY Times Sienna are the A+ rated pollsters who are about to release their final national polls in the next couple days, these will tell us a lot. My guess is all will be +9 to +13.

[sunonmars]

4. They are uk based but did get the last 2 general elections right on the money exactly.

[triron]

2. Is there a left or right lean?

[sunonmars]

3. Neither