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538: States with the closest races (graphic) (Original Post) My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 OP
Quinnipiac University had Clinton up by 5 points exboyfil Oct 2020 #1
In which state? My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #2
Pennsylvania exboyfil Oct 2020 #3
Biden is 50% in every poll. My Pet Orangutan Oct 2020 #9
Margin of error for the poll? Moostache Oct 2020 #4
I am assuming that the same polling firm will have similar exboyfil Oct 2020 #7
More people have already voted this time around. Nt helpisontheway Oct 2020 #5
And the GOP has more levers to pull exboyfil Oct 2020 #8
Comey, Wikileaks and trending polling numbers are different this year. dem4decades Oct 2020 #10
All Historically Predominate Republican States except Nevada Stallion Oct 2020 #6

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
1. Quinnipiac University had Clinton up by 5 points
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:14 PM
Oct 2020

in their last poll.

CNN and Public Policy had Clinton up by 4 points in their last poll.

Moostache

(9,895 posts)
4. Margin of error for the poll?
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:18 PM
Oct 2020

Clinton DID win nationally. So tired of the "polls were sooooo wrong" trope...its total BS.

WI, MI, PA - a total of 77,000 votes across 3 states out of MILLIONS cast...that was the issue in 2016.
It is NOT going to repeat on Tuesday.

Once NC and FL are clearly in the Biden column, it won't matter anyway, Trump MUST win both of those AND PA, MI or WI to have a pathway to winning without fraudulent challenges to the voting.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
7. I am assuming that the same polling firm will have similar
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:21 PM
Oct 2020

margin of error between the two elections. The polls are for Pennsylvania. I totally ignore national polls - they are virtually meaningless.

MOE is only good as the algorithms supporting it. These particular polls were 5% wrong.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
8. And the GOP has more levers to pull
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:23 PM
Oct 2020

to do something about those votes (see the mail delivery delays in Philadelphia).

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