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beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
3. In 2018, Beto lost by 200,000 votes to Cruz, a mere 3%
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:43 PM
Oct 2020

On average, this breaks 3-1 to democrats and all of sudden Biden is really in play to win Texas. Remember in 2018, the last statewide election of national ramification. the incumbent Cruz held on to beat Beto by a mere 200,000 votes out of only 8.3 million votes cast.

Gothmog

(145,291 posts)
4. The final vote total for Texas could be close to 12 million votes
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 02:47 PM
Oct 2020

Michael Li used to have the best election law/redistricting blog in Texas but was hired by the Bennan Center. Michael makes the case for 12 million possible votes in Texas which means that no one has any idea what is going to happen








TexasBushwhacker

(20,192 posts)
12. Texas has already surpassed the TOTAL vote from 2016
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:21 PM
Oct 2020

and the polls don't close until 7 PM. Of course, then we'll add Tuesday. 53.3% of all registered voters have already voted vs 59.4% total voting in 2016. We've added 1.8 Million registered voters since 2016. We've already surpassed the total votes in 2016. I'm hoping our percentage gets up to at least 65%, but all that really matters is that we go blue.

scarletwoman

(31,893 posts)
9. Why should I believe this? It's just a random tweet from an unknown person with no citation.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:04 PM
Oct 2020

Where is the actual source?

hellno45

(67 posts)
13. Yeah, Being a Yale MBA grad focusing on changing the world for the better
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 05:04 PM
Oct 2020

while working as Chief Strategy Officer for the Institute For Education seems a little unqualified, especially when compared to fox news

By the way, he also worked for HRC's campaign as a digital organizer & continues to organize for Democratic causes both online and as a commentator but, here is another source of the Tufts University study

https://www.ksat.com/vote-2020/2020/10/27/the-youth-vote-in-texas-is-up-by-more-than-600-from-last-presidential-election/

scarletwoman

(31,893 posts)
16. Well, goody for you that you know who he is.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 05:14 PM
Oct 2020

It's not as though any of that information was in the OP.

But thank you for providing more of a citation than a single tweet.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
10. That seems impossible to believe.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:07 PM
Oct 2020

Young voters turnout is traditionally lower but not low enough to support a 600% increase (meaning 7x the baseline). To be clear I have no reason to doubt the youth vote is up just the magnitude is hard to make sense of.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
15. Thanks. So it is only comparing early voting to early voting.
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 05:08 PM
Oct 2020

Yeah that makes sense. I was thinking overall voting was 6x 2016 which would be impossible.

Mersky

(4,982 posts)
11. Yes! Keep it up young Texans!!!
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 04:11 PM
Oct 2020

Vote! Vote! Vote!

Keep it going, y’all! No rest til you’ve cast your vote.

The youth vote in Texas is up by more than 600% from last presidential election
More than 753,000 Texans younger than 30 have voted in the 2020 election, according to study

https://www.ksat.com/vote-2020/2020/10/27/the-youth-vote-in-texas-is-up-by-more-than-600-from-last-presidential-election/

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