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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Economist now gives Biden a 97% chance of victory...
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/presidentThe shift seems to have come from an (unrated, according to 538) Opinium poll showing Biden with a 14 point lead.
Meanwhile, 538 still has the odds at 89%-10% (they included both the above poll and the Fox one showing an 8 point lead).
OBVIOUSLY...If you haven't voted yet, vote. If you're voting by absentee or mail-in, forget about using the post office; drop it in a dropbox or hand-carry it to an elections office (or polling place on Tuesday), depending on how your state handles it. And, if you already have mailed or dropped off your ballot, check online to make sure it was received, and be ready to request and submit a provisional ballot by whichever method your state uses if it hasn't been received and accepted yet.
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The Economist now gives Biden a 97% chance of victory... (Original Post)
regnaD kciN
Oct 2020
OP
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)1. its 0% until we all vote
oasis
(49,387 posts)2. I'm thinking more like 99%
northoftheborder
(7,572 posts)3. I'm still worried. Not watching any TV.
Amishman
(5,557 posts)4. I don't like what little I know of their model
It's primary data source appears to be national polls.
I like 538's model far more
triron
(22,006 posts)5. PEC looks like over 99%