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regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 07:26 PM Oct 2020

The Economist now gives Biden a 97% chance of victory...

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

The shift seems to have come from an (unrated, according to 538) Opinium poll showing Biden with a 14 point lead.

Meanwhile, 538 still has the odds at 89%-10% (they included both the above poll and the Fox one showing an 8 point lead).

OBVIOUSLY...If you haven't voted yet, vote. If you're voting by absentee or mail-in, forget about using the post office; drop it in a dropbox or hand-carry it to an elections office (or polling place on Tuesday), depending on how your state handles it. And, if you already have mailed or dropped off your ballot, check online to make sure it was received, and be ready to request and submit a provisional ballot by whichever method your state uses if it hasn't been received and accepted yet.
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The Economist now gives Biden a 97% chance of victory... (Original Post) regnaD kciN Oct 2020 OP
its 0% until we all vote beachbumbob Oct 2020 #1
I'm thinking more like 99% oasis Oct 2020 #2
I'm still worried. Not watching any TV. northoftheborder Oct 2020 #3
I don't like what little I know of their model Amishman Oct 2020 #4
PEC looks like over 99% triron Oct 2020 #5

Amishman

(5,557 posts)
4. I don't like what little I know of their model
Fri Oct 30, 2020, 08:35 PM
Oct 2020

It's primary data source appears to be national polls.

I like 538's model far more

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