Democrats Poised to Expand Majority by 10 to 15 Seats
After impeachment and a Supreme Court fight (that wasn't much of one) and amid a global pandemic and racial reckoning, many congressional candidates have struggled to control their own destiny. But the House battlefield has steadily moved towards Democrats all cycle. And much like 2008, Speaker Nancy Pelosi could expand her party's newly won majority by double digits.
A combination of President Trump's unpopularity in the suburbs, a fundraising disadvantage, and 32 open seats for the GOP to defend (to Democrats' dozen) has weighed down Republicans' prospects. And in the final week, Republicans are spending heavily trying to stave off losses in unlikely places like Little Rock, Southside Virginia and western North Carolina.
In 2018, Democrats gained the majority mostly in suburbs of heavily blue metro areas like Orange County (outside of LA), North Jersey, Northern Virginia, Denver and Minneapolis. But this cycle, Trump's toxicity is imperiling GOP-held seats in traditionally conservative suburbs of metro areas like Indianapolis, St. Louis, Omaha, Cincinnati, Phoenix and San Antonio.
There are still a handful of highly vulnerable Democratic incumbents, including Reps. Collin Peterson (MN-07), Xochitl Torres Small (NM-02) Max Rose (NY-11), Anthony Brindisi (NY-22) and Kendra Horn (OK-05). But all of them are still very much in the game, and GOP attacks on the "Squad" and socialism have failed to move numbers in other places because voters are more focused on Trump.
https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/final-house-ratings-democrats-poised-expand-majority-10-15-seats
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