I think we won Ohio!!!

[BlueLucy]

Trump is done of we win Ohio. He can't lose any states.

[MissB]

1. I think so too

They still have same day votes to continue to come in.

[spooky3]

2. It may be early but things are looking better than the polls! Nt

[Farmgirl1961]

3. Where do you see the projections on Ohio???

n/t

[spooky3]

5. MSNBC is reporting in detail now nt

[PTWB]

4. Don't count your chickens.

A lot of this is early vote and only half counted. We gotta hold on.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

14. so true! Not knowing if early vote completely in is SO

Important. It gives you false hope.

[FakeNoose]

6. So awesome! Great job Ohio Dems, you rock!

This is amazing news. Love you Ohio Dems!

[BlueInPhilly]

7. Can you please post links?

I have trashed so many threads tonight - doom and gloom - just people posting their worst feelings and taking me down with them.

For good news, I need confirmation and not another baseless pronouncements. Thanks.

[VMA131Marine]

8. Biden is running way ahead of Clinton's 2016 numbers in OH

I think he has a good shot at Ohio.

[radius777]

9. Doing much better in the suburbs than Hillary

and the totals seem to be holding as same day comes in.

If we win OH (which is not a must win) then game over.

[marybourg]

10. While it LOOKS good, NYT has not even set up a needle for OH.

Some types of ballots will not be certified until 11/28 per nyt.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

11. It's early, with mailed ballots counted first.

It should be more of a nail-biter later.

Biden could definitely win, though!

[crickets]

12. Looking good so far. 55% of the estimated vote total has been reported.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-ohio.html

Joseph R. Biden Jr. Democrat 1,823,776 52.3%
Donald J. Trump* Republican 1,618,675 46.4
Total reported 3,486,290

[Laura PourMeADrink]

18. But what % of our vote is already in?

[underpants]

13. No way.

[Cbus Girl]

15. 🙏💙🌊

[onetexan]

16. MSNBC is also showing PA with Biden leading -- 64 to 34

[Ms. Toad]

17. Way too early to tell.

Early voting was heavily Democratic. Those are the totals that are posted. Apparently the Cuyahoga County turnout was lower than 2016 - which does not bode well for carrying Ohio.

[mvd]

19. We're outperforming Hillary margins in many places in OH

I am optimistic for now.

[Ms. Toad]

20. The outperformance is meaningless because of the shift in voting.

In the precincts I worked tonight, the early votes were nearly double the in-person votes. That is unheard of - and early votes run heavily Democratic. In person run heavily Republican.

To win, Biden would need to have outperformed Clinton by almost double to hold through the later-posted heavily Republican votes. The station I was listening to on the way home was not optimistic about Ohio based on the low turnout in Cleveland proper. The precincts I worked at had similar demographics - and only 54% turnout. (2/3 of it early voting,)

[mvd]

21. And what if the shift isn't enough for Trump to make up?

Very, very possible! If we rack it up in Democratic areas, there is a lot to make up.

[Ms. Toad]

22. It's a time shift, not a quantity shift -

That makes this early lead an illusion.

Essentially we're counting all the Biden votes first and all the Trump votes last - and my point is that we're not racking it up in Democratic areas. Cleveland's turnout was apparently lower than 2016. I don't know 2016's turnout in the precincts I worked this year - but the turnout was a pitiful 54%. You don't rack it up with a turnout in the low 50s.

[mvd]

23. You are putting too much into Cleveland

And a big R lean on Election Day. I still think Biden holds the lead. We’ll see. Also see post #8.

[Ms. Toad]

24. Cleveland is where Democrats win. n/t

[mvd]

26. Could be a close win but still a win

I have no idea why Cleveland would be lower, however. Not sure what happened.

[manicdem]

25. OMG Stump is catching up

Its painful to watch the Ohio numbers. Biden was up 8% not long ago. then 5%. 4%. Now only 2.7% up within the past hour.

[manicdem]

27. WTH now it's 1.9%

In just a few minutes it went from 2.7% to 1.9% now.