GA - do the math!

[Roland99]

Dekalb has about 80,000 votes left

Based on the current split, Biden should take ~60k; trump gets ~20k. That would cut the current difference down to ~80k

Fulton has over 400k remaining and it's going at a 3:1 clip for Biden. Biden would get 300k; trump would get 100k.

That's a net of +120k for Biden


if my late night/early morning math is right

[LizBeth]

1. +1

[secondwind]

2. I'll take it...

[jcgoldie]

3. It only depends what part of the vote in those places is left to count

If its early vote thats outstanding Joe will cleanup. If its election day vote then it probably will underperform the margins in those places for Joe.

[BGBD]

8. my understanding...

It that isn't mail in/early vote.....and in a very blue set of counties.

[Hoyt]

4. Christ, if your math is correct in final tally, I'll do a dance down Peachtree Street this weekend.

Of course, there are like 100 Peachtree Streets in Atlanta beyond the main drag.

[Salviati]

5. Isn't that a net of 220k?

if Biden picks up 20k in Dekalb and 200k in Fulton.

[Roland99]

6. 240k actually. net of 40k in Dekalb. I'm tired. :)

[Roland99]

7. oh...I meant on final totals. Biden is down about 120k. so 240k added flips the lead

[Salviati]

10. Check. Sounds good to me!

[grantcart]

9. That's why NYT pointing to Biden in GA

[roamer65]

11. I think Biden is going to take GA, MI and WI.

[Cha]

12. You're better at it.. TY!

[fishwax]

13. Fulton has about 155-160k remaining, not 400k remaining

They've had 399,092 votes counted and estimate that at 72% of the total, so they're expecting about 554,294 total. So there are 155k left. If Biden wins 70% of those, he'll get about 62,000 votes. Plus the 40k in Dekalb really puts him in striking distance.

He should also pick up another 10k in Dougherty County -- about 49% reported with 27,358 votes, and he's winning at a rate (67.4) that is very close to what HRC won there (68.4), so it seems likely that he'll keep at that pace.

So, yeah, just between those three counties that brings him within 6000 votes. And there are other suburban Atlanta counties that have ten thousand here, ten thousand there outstanding.

This.
Could.
Happen!

[Roland99]

14. ok...thanks. Guess I misheard MSNBC. thought they'd said 400k left

[fishwax]

15. I rather hope MSNBC is right ... I was taking the numbers from NYT

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia.html

Still, it's looking good. We're going to make this happen, Roland99!

[BainsBane]

16. Trump currently leads by 118,000

That’s very close math.