Prediction markets are saying Biden will win this.

[Statistical]

Prediction markets always had lower odds that Biden would win than places like 538. Right before the election it was 65% for Biden now it is 81%.

Of the remaining states the only one predicted to Trump is NC. Biden is >90% chance in NV, AZ, MI, and WI and 61% chance in PA and 57% chance in GA.

https://www.predictit.org/

I know not everyone likes prediction markets but they tend to be no BS non-partisan odds. If someone thinks the odds are too high or low they can bet against them and in the process move it.


Biden has this. The Senate on the other hand .... not so good.

[doc03]

1. Oh brother prediction markets are full of crap. After 2016 and now 2020

they can't predict any better than my dog. I can't believe they get paid for that. It's not over till it's over.

[BusyBeingBest]

2. Can't go to bed until I see what Michigan does.

[Roland99]

3. Biden leads in NV/AZ/WI. Only needs either MI or GA and that's 270!