'The math is pretty simple': Trump's lead shrinks in Pennsylvania
Politico
So far, 78 percent of mail ballots have broken for Biden and 21 percent have been won by the president.
By HOLLY OTTERBEIN
11/04/2020 10:09 PM EST
PHILADELPHIA With President Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by 196,000 votes and 12 percent of the estimated vote still uncounted, Pennsylvania Democrats and Republicans spent Wednesday working out the rough math surrounding the as-yet-uncounted mail-in ballots.
There were more than 1 million mail ballots left to be counted as of 2:35 p.m., according to Pennsylvanias Department of State. So far, 78 percent of mail ballots have broken for Biden and 21 percent have been won by Trump.
If that pace continues and its a big if Biden would take the lead. Looking at the amount of mail ballots Biden is winning as well as the places still to be fully counted, some Democratic elected officials and consultants, including Sen. Bob Casey, estimate Biden will carry Pennsylvania by about 100,000 votes in a tight race.
Biden has been winning the absentee votes by a fairly steady margin, so the math is pretty simple, said J.J. Balaban, a Pennsylvania-based Democratic strategist. There's no reason to think that there is going to be a big change in the uncounted mail-in ballots from the ones that have been counted.
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